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Prediction of Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Korea, 2024
Kyu-Won Jung, Mee Joo Kang, Eun Hye Park, E Hwa Yun, Hye-Jin Kim, Jeong-Eun Kim, Hyun-Joo Kong, Jeong-Soo Im, Hong Gwan Seo
Cancer Res Treat. 2024;56(2):372-379.   Published online March 11, 2024
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4143/crt.2024.252
AbstractAbstract PDFPubReaderePub
Purpose
This study aimed to report the projected cancer incidence and mortality for the year 2024 to estimate Korea’s current cancer burden.
Materials and Methods
Cancer incidence data from 1999 to 2021 were obtained from the Korea National Cancer Incidence Database, and cancer mortality data from 1993 to 2022 were acquired from Statistics Korea. Cancer incidence and mortality were projected by fitting a linear regression model to observed age-specific cancer rates against their respective years and multiplying the projected age-specific rates by the anticipated age-specific population for 2024. A joinpoint regression model was used to determine the year in which the linear trend changed significantly; we only used the data of the latest trend for prediction.
Results
In total, 292,221 new cancer cases and 83,770 cancer deaths are expected to occur in Korea in 2024. The most common cancer site is expected to be the thyroid, followed by the colon and rectum, lung, breast, and stomach. These five cancers are expected to represent 55.7% of the overall burden of cancer in Korea. The most common type of cancer leading to death is expected to be lung cancer, followed by liver, colorectal, pancreatic, and stomach cancers.
Conclusion
The age-standardized incidence rates for female breast and prostate cancers are estimated to continue to increase. These up-to-date estimates of the cancer burden in Korea could be an important resource for planning and evaluating cancer-control programs.

Citations

Citations to this article as recorded by  
  • Efficacy and safety of herbal medicine treatment on postsurgical recovery in gastric cancer patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis
    Soo-Dam Kim, Sook-Jin Pyo, Dong-Hyeon Kim, Hwa-Seung Yoo, So-Jung Park
    Medicine.2025; 104(1): e41034.     CrossRef
  • 2023 Update of the Korean Thyroid Association Guidelines for the Management of Thyroid Nodules
    Eun Kyung Lee, Young Joo Park
    Clinical Thyroidology®.2024; 36(4): 153.     CrossRef
  • The Role of Local Prostate and Metastasis-Directed Radiotherapy in the Treatment of Oligometastatic Prostate Cancer
    Seo Hee Choi, Seung-Hoon Beom, Young Deuk Choi, Won Sik Ham, Hyunho Han, Woong Kyu Han, Won Sik Jang, Seung Hwan Lee, Jaeho Cho
    Cancers.2024; 16(18): 3159.     CrossRef
  • Trend Analysis of Lung Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Xiamen (2011-2020)
    Jianni Cong, Jiahuang Chi, Junli Zeng, Yilan Lin
    Risk Management and Healthcare Policy.2024; Volume 17: 2375.     CrossRef
  • The Impact of the Dietary Inflammatory Index, Fasting Blood Glucose, and Smoking Status on the Incidence and Survival of Pancreatic Cancer: A Retrospective Case–Control Study and a Prospective Study
    Ga Hyun Lee, Yeon Hee Kim, Sang Myung Woo, Woo Jin Lee, Sung-Sik Han, Sang-Jae Park, Sherry Price, Penias Tembo, James R. Hébert, Mi Kyung Kim
    Nutrients.2024; 16(22): 3941.     CrossRef
  • 5,415 View
  • 258 Download
  • 4 Web of Science
  • 5 Crossref
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Prediction of Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Korea, 2022
Kyu-Won Jung, Young-Joo Won, Mee Joo Kang, Hyun-Joo Kong, Jeong-Soo Im, Hong Gwan Seo
Cancer Res Treat. 2022;54(2):345-351.   Published online March 21, 2022
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4143/crt.2022.179
AbstractAbstract PDFPubReaderePub
Purpose
This study aimed to report the projected cancer incidence and mortality for the year 2022 to estimate Korea’s current cancer burden.
Materials and Methods
Cancer incidence data from 1999 to 2019 were obtained from the Korea National Cancer Incidence Database, and cancer mortality data from 1993 to 2020 were acquired from Statistics Korea. Cancer incidence and mortality were projected by fitting a linear regression model to observed age-specific cancer rates against their respective years and then by multiplying the projected age-specific rates by the anticipated age-specific population for 2022. A joinpoint regression model was used to determine the year in which the linear trend changed significantly; we only used the data of the latest trend.
Results
In total, 274,488 new cancer cases and 81,277 cancer deaths are expected to occur in Korea in 2022. The most common cancer site is expected to be the thyroid, followed by the lung, colon and rectum, breast, and stomach. These five cancers are expected to represent half of the overall burden of cancer in Korea. The most common type of cancer leading to death is expected to be lung cancer, followed by liver, colorectal, pancreatic, and gallbladder cancers.
Conclusion
The incidence rates for all types of cancer in Korea are estimated to gradually decrease. These up-to-date estimates of the cancer burden in Korea could be an important resource for planning and evaluating cancer-control programs.

Citations

Citations to this article as recorded by  
  • LncRNA LINC01703 promotes the proliferation, migration, and invasion of colorectal cancer by activating PI3K/AKT pathway
    Yuanhui Xu, Keliang Jia, Xianhai Zhao, Yuantao Li, Zhen Zhang
    Journal of Biochemical and Molecular Toxicology.2024;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • MHY446 induces apoptosis via reactive oxygen species-mediated endoplasmic reticulum stress in HCT116 human colorectal cancer cells
    Yu Ra Ahn, Jung Yoon Jang, Yong Jung Kang, Hye Jin Oh, Min Kyung Kang, Dahye Yoon, Hyung Sik Kim, Hyung Ryong Moon, Hae Young Chung, Nam Deuk Kim
    Journal of Chemotherapy.2024; 36(6): 483.     CrossRef
  • Real‐world outcome of crizotinib for anaplastic lymphoma kinase‐positive lung cancer: Multicenter retrospective analysis in South Korea
    Da Som Jeon, Cheol‐kyu Park, Seung Joon Kim, Chan Kwon Park, Yoon Soo Chang, Chi Young Jung, Sung Yong Lee, Shin‐Yup Lee, Jeong‐Seon Ryu, Jeong Eun Lee, Kye Young Lee, Tae Won Jang, Seung Hun Jang, Seong Hoon Yoon, Sang Hoon Lee, Chang‐min Choi, Hyeong Ry
    Thoracic Cancer.2024; 15(6): 448.     CrossRef
  • Differential efficacy of tyrosine kinase inhibitors according to the types of EGFR mutations and agents in non-small cell lung cancer: a real-world study
    Tae-Hwan Kim, Jin-Hyuk Choi, Mi Sun Ahn, Hyun Woo Lee, Seok Yun Kang, Yong Won Choi, Young Wha Koh, Seung-Soo Sheen
    BMC Cancer.2024;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Analysis of Breast Cancer Screening Results and Influencing Factors of Breast Cancer in Guangdong Province from 2017 to 2021
    Li Wu, Guo-Zhen Chen, Zu-Rui Zeng, Cun-Wei Ji, An-Qin Zhang, Jian-Hong Xia, Guo-Cheng Liu
    Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health.2024; 14(1): 131.     CrossRef
  • Peritoneal Washing Cytology Positivity in Gastric Cancer: Role of Lymph Node Metastasis as a Risk Factor
    Sojung Kim, Han Hong Lee, Kyo Young Song, Ho Seok Seo
    Journal of Gastric Cancer.2024; 24(2): 185.     CrossRef
  • The Short- and Long-Term Anticipation of Prostate Cancer Incidence in Korea: Based on Social Aging Trends and Prostate-Specific Antigen Testing Rate during the Last Decade
    Jong Hyun Pyun, Young Hwii Ko, Sang Won Kim, Nak-Hoon Son
    Cancers.2024; 16(3): 503.     CrossRef
  • Pretreatment Interstitial Lung Abnormalities Detected on Abdominal Computed Tomography Scans in Prostate Cancer Patients
    Hyun Jin Kim, Won Gi Jeong, Jeong Yeop Lee, Hyo-Jae Lee, Byung Chan Lee, Hyo Soon Lim, Yun-Hyeon Kim
    Journal of Computer Assisted Tomography.2024; 48(3): 406.     CrossRef
  • Combination of oxaliplatin and β-carotene suppresses colorectal cancer by regulating cell cycle, apoptosis, and cancer stemness in vitro
    Junghyeun Lee, Seung Chul Heo, Yuri Kim
    Nutrition Research and Practice.2024; 18(1): 62.     CrossRef
  • Association between Gout and Gastric Cancer: A Nested Case–Control Study Using a National Health Sample Cohort
    Mi Jung Kwon, Kyeong Min Han, Ji Hee Kim, Joo-Hee Kim, Min-Jeong Kim, Nan Young Kim, Hyo Geun Choi, Ho Suk Kang
    Journal of Personalized Medicine.2024; 14(3): 229.     CrossRef
  • Predictive value of SUVmax from initial 18F-FDG PET/CT scans for treatment outcomes in endometrial cancer patients undergoing fertility sparing management
    Ok-Ju Kang, Yonghee Park, Eun Min Lee, Jong Jin Lee, Shin-Wha Lee, Dae-Yeon Kim, Dae-Shik Suh, Jong-Hyeok Kim, Yong-Man Kim, Jeong-Yeol Park
    International Journal of Gynecologic Cancer.2024; 34(8): 1189.     CrossRef
  • Real-world outcomes of third-line immune checkpoint inhibitors versus irinotecan-based chemotherapy in patients with advanced gastric cancer: a Korean, multicenter study (KCSG ST22-06)
    Sung Hee Lim, Keun-Wook Lee, Jae-Joon Kim, Hyeon-Su Im, In-Ho Kim, Hye Sook Han, Dong-Hoe Koo, Jang Ho Cho, Chi Hoon Maeng, Min-Young Lee, Hyo Jin Lee, Jwa Hoon Kim, Sang Gon Park, Joo Young Jung, Seong-Hoon Shin, Ki Hyang Kim, Hyeyeong Kim, So Yeon Oh, M
    BMC Cancer.2024;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Comparison of Adverse Events Between PARP Inhibitors in Patients with Epithelial Ovarian Cancer: A Nationwide Propensity Score Matched Cohort Study
    Gwan Hee Han, Hae-Rim Kim, Hee Yun, Jae-Hoon Kim, Hanbyoul Cho
    Targeted Oncology.2024; 19(2): 251.     CrossRef
  • Prostate-Specific Antigen-Based Prostate Cancer Screening: One for All or Individualized for Each Race? – A Narrative Review
    Chang Wook Jeong
    Journal of Urologic Oncology.2024; 22(1): 4.     CrossRef
  • The Expression and Amplification of HER2 Has a Significant Impact on the Prognosis of Endometrial Carcinoma in Korean Patients
    Wook Youn Kim, Eun Jung Yang, Eun Bi Jang, A Jin Lee, Kyeong A So, Seung-Hyuk Shim, Tae Jin Kim, Sun Joo Lee
    Journal of Clinical Medicine.2024; 13(8): 2158.     CrossRef
  • A survey of current practices in post-polypectomy surveillance in Korea
    Jeongseok Kim, Tae-Geun Gweon, Min Seob Kwak, Su Young Kim, Seong Jung Kim, Hyun Gun Kim, Eun Ran Kim, Sung Noh Hong, Eun Sun Kim, Chang Mo Moon, Dae Seong Myung, Dong Hoon Baek, Shin Ju Oh, Hyun Jung Lee, Ji Young Lee, Yunho Jung, Jaeyoung Chun, Dong-Hoo
    Intestinal Research.2024; 22(2): 186.     CrossRef
  • Cucurbitacin-I exhibits anticancer activity by inducing apoptosis in SKOV3 human ovarian cancer cells
    Ji-Won Park, Seong Mi Kim, Soo Yeon Lee, Seung-Won Park, Jin-Kyung Kim
    Molecular & Cellular Toxicology.2024;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • The safety and efficacy outcomes of Minnelide given alone or in combination with paclitaxel in advanced gastric cancer: A phase I trial
    Sung Hee Lim, Ashok Saluja, Selwyn Vickers, Jung Yong Hong, Seung Tae Kim, Shweta Lavania, Somnath Pandey, Vineet K. Gupta, Mohana R. Velagapudi, Jeeyun Lee
    Cancer Letters.2024; 597: 217041.     CrossRef
  • Lifestyle Behaviors in Patients With Gastric Cancer: Continuous Need for Alcohol Abstinence and Muscle Strength Training Education
    Ji Won Seo, Kyu Na Lee, Kyung Do Han, Ki Bum Park
    Journal of Gastric Cancer.2024; 24(3): 316.     CrossRef
  • Analysis of Aeromedical Consultation Related to Malignant Tumor of Korean Military Flight Crews
    Du Hyun Song
    The Korean Journal of Aerospace and Environmental Medicine.2024; 34(2): 40.     CrossRef
  • Natural Compounds for Preventing Age-Related Diseases and Cancers
    Mi-Ran Ki, Sol Youn, Dong Hyun Kim, Seung Pil Pack
    International Journal of Molecular Sciences.2024; 25(14): 7530.     CrossRef
  • Characterizing the Tumor Microenvironment and Its Correlation with cDC1‐Related Gene Expression in Gastric Cancer
    Song-Hee Han, Mi Ha Ju, Nitin Amdare
    Journal of Immunology Research.2024;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Comparative analysis of machine learning and deep learning models for improved cancer detection: A comprehensive review of recent advancements in diagnostic techniques
    Hari Mohan Rai, Joon Yoo, Abdul Razaque
    Expert Systems with Applications.2024; 255: 124838.     CrossRef
  • Latent profile analysis for assessing symptom clusters in women with breast cancer
    Jin-Hee Park, Mison Chun, Sun Hyoung Bae, Jeonghee Woo, Eunae Chon, Hee Jun Kim
    Journal of Cancer Survivorship.2024;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Modifiable risk factors for weight loss after cancer treatment in Korean gastric cancer survivors
    Junhee Park, Jiyoung Kim, Dong Wook Shin, Jinyoung Shin, BeLong Cho, Yun-Mi Song
    Journal of Cancer Survivorship.2024;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Gochujang suppresses cell survival and changes reactive oxygen species metabolism in colorectal cancer cells
    Eun-Bi Seo, So-Min Oh, Anna Han
    Food & Nutrition Research.2024;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Docetaxel/Cisplatin Chemotherapy Followed by Pelvic Radiation Therapy in Patients With High-risk Endometrial Cancer After Staging Surgery: A Phase 2 Study
    Ok-Ju Kang, Yoon-Jung Cho, Myong Cheol Lim, Yeon Jee Lee, Sang Soo Seo, Sokbom Kang, Sang-Yoon Park, Young Seok Kim, Joo-Hyun Nam, Jeong-Yeol Park
    International Journal of Radiation Oncology*Biology*Physics.2024;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Review of recent impacts of artificial intelligence for radiation therapy procedures
    Fouad Abdulaziz Abolaban
    Radiation Physics and Chemistry.2023; 202: 110469.     CrossRef
  • Valrubicin decreases cell proliferation in gastric cancer through the apoptosis induction
    Jang-Mi Bae, Won-Jin Kim, Woong Kim, Seok-Jun Kim
    Molecular & Cellular Toxicology.2023; 19(1): 155.     CrossRef
  • Incidence and survival rates of primary uterine carcinosarcoma in Korea: a National Cancer Registry study
    Se Ik Kim, Ji Hyun Kim, Cheol Lee, Johyun Ha, Kyu-Won Jung, Myong Cheol Lim
    Journal of Gynecologic Oncology.2023;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Role of Adjuvant Radiotherapy in Gastric Cancer
    Jeong Il Yu
    Journal of Gastric Cancer.2023; 23(1): 194.     CrossRef
  • Effect of BRCA1/2 Mutational Status on Survival Outcomes According to Secondary Cytoreductive Surgery and Maintenance Therapy in Platinum-Sensitive Relapsed Ovarian Cancer: A Real-World Evidence Study
    Se Ik Kim, Hyunji Lim, Hee Seung Kim, Hyun Hoon Chung, Jae-Weon Kim, Noh Hyun Park, Yong-Sang Song, Maria Lee
    Cancer Research and Treatment.2023; 55(1): 245.     CrossRef
  • Therapeutic Potential of Bioactive Components from Scutellaria baicalensis Georgi in Inflammatory Bowel Disease and Colorectal Cancer: A Review
    Jung Yoon Jang, Eunok Im, Nam Deuk Kim
    International Journal of Molecular Sciences.2023; 24(3): 1954.     CrossRef
  • Venous Thromboembolism in Patients with Advanced Pancreatic Cancer Receiving Palliative Chemotherapy: Incidence and Effect on Prognosis
    Han Taek Jeong, June Hwa Bae, Ho Gak Kim, Jimin Han
    The Korean Journal of Gastroenterology.2023; 81(3): 109.     CrossRef
  • Understanding Heterogeneity in the Relationship Between Cancer and Hand Grip Strength: A Longitudinal Analysis
    Jinho Kim, Gum-Ryeong Park
    Research on Aging.2023; 45(7-8): 586.     CrossRef
  • Anastomotic leakage after resection of the rectosigmoid colon in primary ovarian cancer
    Ji Hyun Kim, Won Ho Han, Dong-Eun Lee, Sun Young Kim, Kiho You, Sung Sil Park, Dong Woon Lee, Sang-Soo Seo, Sokbom Kang, Sang-Yoon Park, Myong Cheol Lim
    Journal of Ovarian Research.2023;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Interpretation of Rectal MRI after Neoadjuvant Treatment in Patients with Rectal Cancer
    Nieun Seo, Joon Seok Lim
    Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology.2023; 84(3): 550.     CrossRef
  • Vitamin E intake and paraoxonase 1 (PON1) rs662 genetic polymorphism are associated with colorectal cancer risk in a Korean population
    Quynh-Anh Bui, Madhawa Gunathilake, Jeonghee Lee, Jae Hwan Oh, Hee Jin Chang, Dae Kyung Sohn, Aesun Shin, Jeongseon Kim
    International Journal of Food Sciences and Nutrition.2023; 74(4): 510.     CrossRef
  • New fungal protein from Pleurotus ferulae lanzi induces AMPK-mediated autophagy and G1-phase cell cycle arrest in A549 lung cancer cells
    Meng-Han Liu, Fang Liu, Tzi Bun Ng, Zhao-Kun Liu
    International Journal of Biological Macromolecules.2023; 244: 125453.     CrossRef
  • Association of immunotoxicological indices with lung cancer biomarkers in poultry, grape, and rose farming workers
    Anju Maharjan, Ravi Gautam, Manju Acharya, JiHun Jo, DaEun Lee, Pramod Bahadur K C, Young-A Lee, Jung-Taek Kwon, HyoCher Kim, KyungRan Kim, ChangYul Kim, HyoungAh Kim, Yong Heo
    Toxicological Research.2023; 39(4): 739.     CrossRef
  • Baseline Lower Urinary Tract Symptoms and Sexual Dysfunction in Men with Newly Diagnosed Localized Prostate Cancer
    Wan Song, Jun-Seop Kim, Kwang Jin Ko
    Journal of Clinical Medicine.2023; 12(13): 4462.     CrossRef
  • Urologic malignancies that cause hematuria
    Sung Jin Kim, Myungchan Park, Sangjun Yoo
    Journal of the Korean Medical Association.2023; 66(6): 363.     CrossRef
  • The Role of Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) and MRI-Targeted Biopsy for Active Surveillance
    Chang Wook Jeong
    Journal of Urologic Oncology.2023; 21(2): 97.     CrossRef
  • Risk Factors and Prognosis of Stroke in Gynecologic Cancer Patients
    Ji Young Kwon, Kena Park, Jeong Min Song, Seung Yeon Pyeon, Seon Hwa Lee, Young Shin Chung, Jong-Min Lee
    Cancers.2023; 15(19): 4895.     CrossRef
  • Strategic planning for cancer control: Utilizing machine-learning models to predict future incidences
    Esraa Zeki Mohammed, Noor Ghazi M. Jameel, Ahmed Ibrahim Shukr, Ahmed Ghareeb
    Results in Control and Optimization.2023; 13: 100322.     CrossRef
  • The Role of Blood Microbiome in the Development of Thyroid Cancer in Breast Cancer Survivors
    Jeongshin An, Hyungju Kwon, Young Ju Kim
    Cancers.2023; 15(18): 4492.     CrossRef
  • Deciphering the DNA methylation landscape of colorectal cancer in a Korean cohort
    Seok-Byung Lim, Soobok Joe, Hyo-Ju Kim, Jong Lyul Lee, In Ja Park, Yong Sik Yoon, Chan Wook Kim, Jong-Hwan Kim, Sangok Kim, Jin-Young Lee, Hyeran Shim, Hoang Bao Khanh Chu, Sheehyun Cho, Jisun Kang, Si-Cho Kim, Hong Seok Lee, Young-Joon Kim, Seon-Young K
    BMB Reports.2023; 56(10): 569.     CrossRef
  • A Web-Based Decision Aid for Informed Prostate Cancer Screening: Development and Pilot Evaluation
    Wonyoung Jung, In Young Cho, Keun Hye Jeon, Yohwan Yeo, Jae Kwan Jun, Mina Suh, Ansuk Jeong, Jungkwon Lee, Dong Wook Shin
    Journal of Korean Medical Science.2023;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Combined impact of myosteatosis and liver steatosis on prognosis in stage I–III colorectal cancer patients
    Dong Hee Lee, Il Jo, Hye Sun Lee, Jeonghyun Kang
    Journal of Cachexia, Sarcopenia and Muscle.2023; 14(6): 2908.     CrossRef
  • Endoscopic Resection of Early Gastric Cancer in Elderly
    Da Hyun Jung
    The Korean Journal of Gastroenterology.2022; 80(1): 1.     CrossRef
  • Stereotactic body radiation therapy for pancreatic cancer: a potential ally in the era of immunotherapy?
    Jin-hong Park
    Radiation Oncology Journal.2022; 40(3): 169.     CrossRef
  • Re-Increasing Trends in Thyroid Cancer Incidence after a Short Period of Decrease in Korea: Reigniting the Debate on Ultrasound Screening
    Chan Kwon Jung, Ja Seong Bae, Young Joo Park
    Endocrinology and Metabolism.2022; 37(5): 816.     CrossRef
  • Impact of modifiable reproductive factors on cancer incidence and mortality in Korea: a systematic review protocol
    Seo-Hee Kim, Mi Ah Han
    BMJ Open.2022; 12(11): e067826.     CrossRef
  • Omission of chemotherapy for hormone receptor-positive and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative breast cancer: patterns of treatment and outcomes from the Korean Breast Cancer Society Registry
    Hannah Lois Kangleon-Tan, Jongmin Sim, Ji Young You, Eun-Shin Lee, Haemin Lee, Sun Moon Yang, Min-Ki Seong, Eun Hwa Park, Seok Jin Nam, Min Ho Park, Seokwon Lee, Woo-Chan Park, Rogelio G. Kangleon, Crisostomo B. Dy, Soo Youn Bae, Seung Pil Jung
    Annals of Surgical Treatment and Research.2022; 103(6): 313.     CrossRef
  • Trends in breast cancer screening rates among Korean women: results from the Korean National Cancer Screening Survey, 2005-2020
    Soo Yeon Song, Yun Yeong Lee, Hye Young Shin, Bomi Park, Mina Suh, Kui Son Choi, Jae Kwan Jun
    Epidemiology and Health.2022; 44: e2022111.     CrossRef
  • 13,718 View
  • 520 Download
  • 62 Web of Science
  • 55 Crossref
Close layer
Prediction of Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Korea, 2021
Kyu-Won Jung, Young-Joo Won, Seri Hong, Hyun-Joo Kong, Jeong-Soo Im, Hong Gwan Seo
Cancer Res Treat. 2021;53(2):316-322.   Published online March 17, 2021
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4143/crt.2021.290
AbstractAbstract PDFPubReaderePub
Purpose
This study aimed to report the projected cancer incidence and mortality for the year 2021 to estimate Korea’s current cancer burden.
Materials and Methods
Cancer incidence data from 1999 to 2018 were obtained from the Korea National Cancer Incidence Database, and cancer mortality data from 1993 to 2019 were acquired from Statistics Korea. Cancer incidence and mortality were projected by fitting a linear regression model to observed age-specific cancer rates against their respective years and then by multiplying the projected age-specific rates by the anticipated age-specific population for 2021. A joinpoint regression model was used to determine the year in which the linear trend changed significantly; we only used the data of the latest trend.
Results
In total, 259,999 new cancer cases and 81,567 cancer deaths are expected to occur in Korea in 2021. The most common cancer site is expected to be the lung, followed by the thyroid, colon and rectum, breast, and stomach. These five cancers are expected to represent half of the overall burden of cancer in Korea. The most common type of cancer leading to death is expected to be lung cancer, followed by liver, colorectal, pancreatic, and stomach cancers.
Conclusion
The incidence rates for all types of cancer in Korea are estimated to gradually decrease. These up-to-date estimates of the cancer burden in Korea could be an important resource for planning and evaluating cancer-control programs.

Citations

Citations to this article as recorded by  
  • Fear of cancer recurrence and its predictors among patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC)
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    Journal of Gynecologic Oncology.2024;[Epub]     CrossRef
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    Xiaosheng Ding, Xiaoyan Li, Peng Yin, Lijun Wang, Jinlei Qi, Weiping Liu
    Heliyon.2024; 10(12): e32996.     CrossRef
  • Current Status of Chemotherapy in Colorectal Cancer: Updated Treatment Strategies
    Jae Hyun Kim, Seun Ja Park
    The Korean Journal of Gastroenterology.2024; 84(3): 123.     CrossRef
  • Docetaxel/Cisplatin Chemotherapy Followed by Pelvic Radiation Therapy in Patients With High-risk Endometrial Cancer After Staging Surgery: A Phase 2 Study
    Ok-Ju Kang, Yoon-Jung Cho, Myong Cheol Lim, Yeon Jee Lee, Sang Soo Seo, Sokbom Kang, Sang-Yoon Park, Young Seok Kim, Joo-Hyun Nam, Jeong-Yeol Park
    International Journal of Radiation Oncology*Biology*Physics.2024;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • AKR1C2 Promotes Metastasis and Regulates the Molecular Features of Luminal Androgen Receptor Subtype in Triple Negative Breast Cancer Cells
    Songbin Li, Woochan Lee, Woohang Heo, Hye-Youn Son, Yujeong Her, Jong-Il Kim, Hyeong-Gon Moon
    Journal of Breast Cancer.2023; 26(1): 60.     CrossRef
  • Clinical implications of young-onset pancreatic cancer patients after curative resection in Korea: a Korea Tumor Registry System Biliary Pancreas database analysis
    Hyung S. Kim, Ho-Seong Han, Woojin Kim, Changsoo Kim, Jin-Young Jang, Wooil Kwon, Jin S. Heo, Sang H. Shin, Ho K. Hwang, Joon S. Park
    HPB.2023; 25(1): 146.     CrossRef
  • New Targeted Therapy for Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer
    Eun Ki Chung, Seung Hyun Yong, Eun Hye Lee, Eun Young Kim, Yoon Soo Chang, Sang Hoon Lee
    Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases.2023; 86(1): 1.     CrossRef
  • Projections of cancer mortality by 2025 in central China: A modeling study of global burden of disease 2019
    Qiaohua Xu, Maigeng Zhou, Peng Yin, Donghui Jin
    Heliyon.2023; 9(2): e13432.     CrossRef
  • Update of sentinel lymph node mapping assessment in endometrial cancer
    Se Ik Kim, Jae-Weon Kim
    Gynecology and Obstetrics Clinical Medicine.2023; 3(1): 1.     CrossRef
  • Association between urinary iodine concentration and the risk of papillary thyroid cancer by sex and age: a case–control study
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Prediction of Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Korea, 2020
Kyu-Won Jung, Young-Joo Won, Seri Hong, Hyun-Joo Kong, Eun Sook Lee
Cancer Res Treat. 2020;52(2):351-358.   Published online March 16, 2020
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4143/crt.2020.203
AbstractAbstract PDFPubReaderePub
Purpose
This study aimed to report the projected cancer incidence and mortality for the year 2020 to estimate Korea’s current cancer burden.
Materials and Methods
Cancer incidence data from 1999 to 2017 were obtained from the Korea National Cancer Incidence Database, and cancer mortality data from 1993 to 2018 were acquired from Statistics Korea. Cancer incidence and mortality were projected by fitting a linear regression model to observed age-specific cancer rates against observed years and then by multiplying the projected age-specific rates by the age-specific population. A Joinpoint regression model was used to determine the year in which the linear trend changed significantly; we only used the data of the latest trend.
Results
In total, 243,263 new cancer cases and 80,546 cancer deaths are expected to occur in Korea in 2020. The most common cancer site is expected to be the lung, followed by the stomach, thyroid, colon/rectum, and breast. These five cancers types are expected to represent half of the overall burden of cancer in Korea. The most common type of cancer among people who die is expected to be lung cancer, followed by liver, colon/rectal, pancreatic, and stomach cancers.
Conclusion
The incidence rates for all types of cancer in Korea are estimated to decrease gradually. These up-to-date estimates of the cancer burden in Korea could be an important resource for planning and evaluating cancer-control programs.

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Prediction of Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Korea, 2019
Kyu-Won Jung, Young-Joo Won, Hyun-Joo Kong, Eun Sook Lee
Cancer Res Treat. 2019;51(2):431-437.   Published online March 18, 2019
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4143/crt.2019.139
AbstractAbstract PDFPubReaderePub
Purpose
This study aimed to report on cancer incidence and mortality for the year 2019 to estimate Korea’s current cancer burden.
Materials and Methods
Cancer incidence data from 1999 to 2016 were obtained from the Korea National Cancer Incidence Database, and cancer mortality data from 1993 to 2017 were acquired from Statistics Korea. Cancer incidence and mortality were projected by fitting a linear regression model to observed age-specific cancer rates against observed years, then multiplying the projected age-specific rates by the age-specific population. The Joinpoint regression model was used to determine at which year the linear trend changed significantly; we used only the data of the latest trend.
Results
A total of 221,347 new cancer cases and 82,344 cancer deaths are expected to occur in Korea in 2019. The most common cancer sites thus far have been the lung, followed by the stomach, colon and rectum, breast, and liver. These five cancers represent half of the overall burden of cancer in Korea. For cancer associated mortality, the most common sites were lung, followed by the liver, colon and rectum, stomach, and pancreas.
Conclusion
The incidence rate of all cancer in Korea is estimated to decrease gradually. These up-todate estimates of the cancer burden in Korea could be an important resource for planning and evaluating cancer-control programs.

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Prediction of Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Korea, 2018
Kyu-Won Jung, Young-Joo Won, Hyun-Joo Kong, Eun Sook Lee
Cancer Res Treat. 2018;50(2):317-323.   Published online March 21, 2018
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4143/crt.2018.142
AbstractAbstract PDFPubReaderePub
Purpose
This study aimed to report on cancer incidence and mortality for the year 2018 to estimate Korea’s current cancer burden.
Materials and Methods
Cancer incidence data from 1999 to 2015 were obtained from the Korea National Cancer Incidence Database, and cancer mortality data from 1993 to 2016 were acquired from Statistics Korea. Cancer incidence and mortality were projected by fitting a linear regression model to observed age-specific cancer rates against observed years, then multiplying the projected age-specific rates by the age-specific population. The Joinpoint regression model was used to determine at which year the linear trend changed significantly, we only used the data of the latest trend.
Results
A total of 204,909 new cancer cases and 82,155 cancer deaths are expected to occur in Korea in 2018. The most common cancer sites were lung, followed by stomach, colorectal, breast and liver. These five cancers represent half of the overall burden of cancer in Korea. For mortality, the most common sites were lung cancer, followed by liver, colorectal, stomach and pancreas.
Conclusion
The incidence rate of all cancer in Korea are estimated to decrease gradually, mainly due to decrease of thyroid cancer. These up-to-date estimates of the cancer burden in Korea could be an important resource for planning and evaluation of cancer-control programs.

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Original Article
Lifestyle Risk Prediction Model for Prostate Cancer in a Korean Population
Sung Han Kim, Sohee Kim, Jae Young Joung, Whi-An Kwon, Ho Kyung Seo, Jinsoo Chung, Byung-Ho Nam, Kang Hyun Lee
Cancer Res Treat. 2018;50(4):1194-1202.   Published online December 21, 2017
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4143/crt.2017.484
AbstractAbstract PDFSupplementary MaterialPubReaderePub
Purpose
The use of prostate-specific antigen as a biomarker for prostate cancer (PC) has been controversial and is, therefore, not used by many countries in their national health screening programs. The biological characteristics of PC in East Asians including Koreans and Japanese are different from those in the Western populations. Potential lifestyle risk factors for PC were evaluated with the aim of developing a risk prediction model.
Materials and Methods
A total of 1,179,172 Korean men who were cancer free from 1996 to 1997, had taken a physical examination, and completed a lifestyle questionnaire, were enrolled in our study to predict their risk for PC for the next eight years, using the Cox proportional hazards model. The model’s performance was evaluated using the C-statistic and Hosmer‒Lemeshow type chi-square statistics.
Results
The risk prediction model studied age, height, body mass index, glucose levels, family history of cancer, the frequency of meat consumption, alcohol consumption, smoking status, and physical activity, which were all significant risk factors in a univariate analysis. The model performed very well (C statistic, 0.887; 95% confidence interval, 0.879 to 0.895) and estimated an elevated PC risk in patients who did not consume alcohol or smoke, compared to heavy alcohol consumers (hazard ratio [HR], 0.78) and current smokers (HR, 0.73) (p < 0.001).
Conclusion
This model can be used for identifying Korean and other East Asian men who are at a high risk for developing PC, as well as for cancer screening and developing preventive health strategies.

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Special Articles
Prediction of Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Korea, 2017
Kyu-Won Jung, Young-Joo Won, Chang-Mo Oh, Hyun-Joo Kong, Duk Hyoung Lee, Kang Hyun Lee
Cancer Res Treat. 2017;49(2):306-312.   Published online March 17, 2017
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4143/crt.2017.130
AbstractAbstract PDFPubReaderePub
Purpose
This study aimed to report on cancer incidence and mortality for the year 2017 in Korea in order to estimate the nation’s current cancer burden.
Materials and Methods
Cancer incidence data from 1999 to 2014 were obtained from the Korea National Cancer Incidence Database, and cancer mortality data from 1993 to 2015 were acquired from Statistics Korea. Cancer incidence and mortality were projected by fitting a linear regression model to observe age-specific cancer rates against observed years, and then multiplying the projected age-specific rates by the age-specific population. The Joinpoint regression model was used to determine at which year the linear trend changed significantly; we only used data of the latest trend.
Results
A total of 221,143 new cancer cases and 80,268 cancer deaths are expected to occur in Korea in 2017. The most common cancer sites are the colorectum, stomach, lung, thyroid, and breast. These five cancers represent half of the overall burden of cancer in Korea. For mortality, the most common sites are the lung, liver, colorectal, stomach, and pancreas.
Conclusion
The incidence rate of all cancers in Korea appears to have decreased mainly because of a decrease in thyroid cancer. These up-to-date estimates of the cancer burden in Korea could be an important resource for planning and evaluation of cancer-control programs.

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Prediction of Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Korea, 2014
Kyu-Won Jung, Young-Joo Won, Hyun-Joo Kong, Chang-Mo Oh, Duk Hyoung Lee, Jin Soo Lee
Cancer Res Treat. 2014;46(2):124-130.   Published online April 15, 2014
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4143/crt.2014.46.2.124
AbstractAbstract PDFPubReaderePub
Purpose

We studied and reported on cancer incidence and mortality rates as projected for the year 2014 in order to estimate Korea's current cancer burden.

Materials and Methods

Cancer incidence data from 1999 to 2011 were obtained from the Korea National Cancer Incidence Database, and cancer mortality data from 1993 to 2012 were acquired from Statistics Korea. Cancer incidence in 2014 was projected by fitting a linear regression model to observed age-specific cancer incidence rates against observed years, then multiplying the projected age-specific rates by the age-specific population. For cancer mortality, a similar procedure was employed, except that a Joinpoint regression model was used to determine at which year the linear trend changed significantly.

Results

A total of 265,813 new cancer cases and 74,981 cancer deaths are expected to occur in Korea in 2014. Further, the crude incidence rate per 100,000 of all sites combined will likely reach 524.7 and the age-standardized incidence rate, 338.5. Meanwhile, the crude mortality rate of all sites combined and age-standardized rate are projected to be 148.0 and 84.6, respectively. Given the rapid rise in prostate cancer cases, it is anticipated to be the fourth most frequently occurring cancer site in men for the first time.

Conclusion

Cancer has become the most prominent public health concern in Korea, and as the population ages, the nation's cancer burden will continue to increase.

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Prediction of Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Korea, 2013
Kyu-Won Jung, Young-Joo Won, Hyun-Joo Kong, Chang-Mo Oh, Hong Gwan Seo, Jin-Soo Lee
Cancer Res Treat. 2013;45(1):15-21.   Published online March 31, 2013
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4143/crt.2013.45.1.15
AbstractAbstract PDFPubReaderePub
PURPOSE
To estimate the current cancer burden in Korea, cancer incidence and mortality rates were projected for the year 2013.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
Cancer incidence data from 1999 to 2010 were obtained from the Korea National Cancer Incidence Database, and cancer mortality data from 1993 to 2011 were obtained from Statistics Korea. Cancer incidence in 2013 was projected by fitting a linear regression model to observed age-specific cancer incidence rates against observed years, then multiplying the projected age-specific rates by the age-specific population. For cancer mortality, a similar procedure was used, except that a Joinpoint regression model was used to determine at which year the linear trend changed significantly.
RESULTS
In total, 247,732 new cancer cases and 74,179 cancer deaths are projected to occur in Korea in 2013. For all sites combined, the crude incidence rates are projected to be 489.8 and 492.2, and the age-standardized incidences to be 350.4 and 318.4 per 100,000 for males and females, respectively.
CONCLUSION
Cancer has become an important public health concern in Korea, and as the Korean population ages, the cancer burden will continue to increase.

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Original Article
Long Term Trends and the Future Gastric Cancer Mortality in Korea: 1983~2013
Yunhee Choi, Jin Gwack, Yeonju Kim, Jisuk Bae, Jae-Kwan Jun, Kwang-Pil Ko, Keun-Young Yoo
Cancer Res Treat. 2006;38(1):7-12.   Published online February 28, 2006
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4143/crt.2006.38.1.7
Correction in: Cancer Res Treat 2007;39(1):44
AbstractAbstract PDFPubReaderePub
Purpose

In spite of gastric cancer's decreasing incidence and mortality rates, it is still the most common cancer in Korea. In the present study, we examined the temporal trends of gastric cancer mortality during the past 20 years in Korea by using an age-period-cohort model, and we predicted the mortality rates for the next 10 years.

Materials and Methods

Data on the annual number of deaths due to gastric cancer and data on population statistics from 1984 to 2003 were obtained from the Korean National Statistical Office. A log-linear Poisson age-period-cohort model was used to estimate age, period and birth cohort effects. To project two periods (10 years) into the future, the new cohort values were estimated by performing linear regression that was applied to a chosen number of the most recent cohort values.

Results

The trends of gastric cancer mortality were predominantly explained by the cohort effect; the risk of gastric cancer death decreased since the 1919 birth cohort for both genders. The predicted, expected age-adjusted mortality rates per 100,000 for males and females are 45.72 and 23.75, respectively, during 2004~2008, and 34.62 and 17.93 respectively, during 2009~2013. During 2004~2008 and 2009~2013, the predicted numbers of deaths due to gastric cancer in males are 36,922 and 27,959, respectively, whereas those in females are 19,698 and 14,869, respectively.

Conclusions

Not only the mortality, but also the incidence of gastric cancer in Korea is expected to further decrease in both men and women if the trends of the past 20 years continue.

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Special Article
Prediction of Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Korea, 2023
Kyu-Won Jung, Mee Joo Kang, Eun Hye Park, E Hwa Yun, Hye-Jin Kim, Hyun-Joo Kong, Jeong-Soo Im, Hong Gwan Seo
Cancer Res Treat. 2023;55(2):400-407.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4143/crt.2023.448
AbstractAbstract PDFPubReaderePub
Purpose
This study aimed to report the projected cancer incidence and mortality for the year 2023 to estimate Korea’s current cancer burden.
Materials and Methods
Cancer incidence data from 1999 to 2020 were obtained from the Korea National Cancer Incidence Database, and cancer mortality data from 1993 to 2021 were acquired from Statistics Korea. Cancer incidence and mortality were projected by fitting a linear regression model to observed age-specific cancer rates against their respective years and then by multiplying the projected age-specific rates by the anticipated age-specific population for 2023. A joinpoint regression model was used to determine the year in which the linear trend changed significantly; we only used the data of the latest trend.
Results
In total, 273,076 new cancer cases and 81,818 cancer deaths are expected to occur in Korea in 2023. The most common cancer site is expected to be the lung, followed by the thyroid, breast, colon and rectum, and stomach. These five cancers are expected to represent half of the overall burden of cancer in Korea. The most common type of cancer leading to death is expected to be lung cancer, followed by liver, colorectal, pancreatic, and gallbladder cancers.
Conclusion
The incidence rates for all types of cancer in Korea are estimated to gradually decrease. These up-to-date estimates of the cancer burden in Korea could be an important resource for planning and evaluating cancer-control programs.

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