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Original Article
Spatial Disparities in Stage-Specific Breast Cancer Incidence and Area-Level Risk Factors in Korea, 2005–2018
Eun Hye Park1,2orcid , Kyu-Won Jung1,2orcid , Seung-sik Hwang3, So-Youn Jung4, Jae Kwan Jun2,5

DOI: https://doi.org/10.4143/crt.2025.1268 [Accepted]
Published online: June 8, 2026

This article has been accepted for publication following full peer review and is provided as an unedited Accepted Article to allow early access to its findings. It has not yet undergone copyediting, typesetting, pagination, or proofreading, and the final Version of Record may differ from this version.

1Korea Central Cancer Registry, National Cancer Center, Goyang, Korea
2National Cancer Control Institute, National Cancer Center, Goyang, Korea
3Graduate School of Public Health, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea
4Center for Breast Cancer, National Cancer Center, Goyang, Korea
5Department of Cancer Control and Policy, Graduate School of Cancer Science and Policy, National Cancer Center, Goyang, Korea
Corresponding author:  Kyu-Won Jung
Tel: 82-31-920-2015 
Email: ara@ncc.re.kr
Received: 19 November 2025   • Accepted: 5 June 2026
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Purpose
Despite a nationwide breast cancer screening program in Korea, spatial disparities in stage at diagnosis persist. This study aimed to examine disparities in breast cancer incidence by stage and their association with area-level risk factors.
Materials and Methods
We conducted a population-based ecological study using data from the Korea National Cancer Incidence Database (2005–2018). Among 230,214 women diagnosed with breast cancer, 215,803 with known stage were included. Stage-specific incidence across 250 municipalities was estimated for three periods (2005–2008, 2009–2013, and 2014–2018). For 2014–2018, associations with the area deprivation index (ADI), obesity rate, alcohol consumption rate, cancer screening rate, and mammography unit availability were assessed using Bayesian hierarchical models.
Results
Of 215,803 patients, 59.0% had localized-stage, 35.5% regional-stage, and 5.5% distant-stage. Localized-stage incidence was higher in affluent areas, whereas distant-stage incidence was higher in deprived areas. In multivariable models, lower ADI (β = -0.058; 95% credible interval [CrI]: -0.098, -0.019), lower obesity rate (β=-0.066; 95% CrI: -0.091, -0.041), and higher mammography availability (β=0.014; 95% CrI: 0.001, 0.027) were significantly associated with higher localized-stage incidence. Conversely, higher ADI (β=0.103; 95% CrI: 0.017, 0.188) and higher alcohol consumption (β=0.227; 95% CrI: 0.115, 0.338) were significantly associated with increased distant-stage incidence.
Conclusion
Spatial disparities in stage-specific breast cancer incidence in Korea were associated with area-level deprivation, healthcare resources, and health-related behaviors. Integrating spatial perspectives into cancer control strategies may help promote more equitable early detection and contribute to improve breast cancer outcomes.

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