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Original Article
Longitudinal Circulating Tumor DNA Profiling as a Biomarker for Response and Resistance in Platinum-Refractory Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma
Wonyoung Choi1,2orcid , Jong-Ho Lee1,3, Junsun Ryu1,4, Sung Weon Choi1,3, Yuh-Seog Jung1,4, Joo-Yong Park1,3, Chang Hwan Ryu1,4, Sung Yong Choi1,4, Weon Seo Park5, Sun-Young Kong6, Tak Yun1,2orcid

DOI: https://doi.org/10.4143/crt.2025.1089 [Accepted]
Published online: November 4, 2025
1Center for Rare Cancers, National Cancer Center, Goyang, Korea
2Division of Hematology-Oncology, Department of Internal Medicine, Korea
3Oral Oncology Clinic, Korea
4Department of Otorhinolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Korea
5Department of Pathology, Korea
6Department of Laboratory Medicine, National Cancer Center, Goyang, Korea
Corresponding author:  Wonyoung Choi
Tel: 82-31-920-0896 
Email: wonyoungchoi@ncc.re.kr
Tak Yun
Tel: 82-31-920-1621 
Email: hmotakyun@ncc.re.kr
Received: 5 October 2025   • Accepted: 3 November 2025
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Purpose
Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) are the standard treatment for platinum-refractory head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). This study aimed to characterize genomic alterations, monitor dynamic changes in circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) associated with treatment response, and identify novel alterations linked to resistance through serial ctDNA profiling.
Materials and Methods
Patients with platinum-refractory HNSCC receiving nivolumab were enrolled. ctDNA was analyzed using FoundationOne Liquid CDx at baseline, 6 weeks after treatment, and at disease progression.
Results
A total of 36 patients were enrolled, and 33 were evaluable for ctDNA. The most frequent baseline alterations were TP53 (75.8%), followed by TERT (27.3%), NOTCH1 (24.2%), CDKN2A (12.1%), and CCND1 (12.1%). Of 27 patients with measurable lesions, 5 achieved a partial response with a response rate of 18.5%. Dynamic ctDNA profiling revealed all responders had marked reductions in both the sum of variant allele frequencies (sumVAF) and the maximum variant allele frequencies (maxVAF) across detected mutations. A decrease in sumVAF or maxVAF correlated with longer treatment durations, and patients with a >50% decrease in either sumVAF or maxVAF showed significantly longer progression-free survival. Additionally, serial profiling identified de novo mutations in 17 patients, detected during stable disease or progression.
Conclusion
Serial ctDNA analysis provides a noninvasive tool for monitoring treatment response and detecting emerging resistance in HNSCC treated with ICIs. A significant reduction in ctDNA at 6 weeks was associated with improved clinical outcomes and warrants validation in larger, prospective studies to define its role as a predictive biomarker in HNSCC.

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