, Jieun Jang2
, Hyeong Ho Jo3, Nayoung Kim1,4
1Department of Internal Medicine and Research Center for Sex- and Gender-Specific Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam, Korea
2Division of Clinical Research, Research Institute, National Cancer Center, Goyang, Korea
3Department of Internal Medicine, Daegu Catholic University School of Medicine, Daegu, Korea
4Department of Internal Medicine and Liver Research Institute, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
Copyright © 2026 by the Korean Cancer Association
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Ethical Statement
The study protocol was reviewed and approved by the institutional review board (IRB) of the Seoul National University Bundang Hospital (IRB No. X-2209-780-901). This study was carried out in accordance with the recommendations of the Declaration of Helsinki for biomedical research involving human subjects and the Guidelines for Good Clinical Practice. Informed consent was waived by the IRB.
Author Contributions
Conceived and designed the analysis: Choi Y, Jang J, Jo HH, Kim N.
Collected the data: Choi Y, Jang J.
Contributed data or analysis tools: Jang J.
Performed the analysis: Jang J.
Wrote the paper: Choi Y, Jang J.
Manuscript review and final approval: Choi Y, Jang J, Jo HH, Kim N.
Conflicts of Interest
Conflict of interest relevant to this article was not reported.
Funding
This work was supported by the National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) grant (RS 2024-00337453) funded by the Korea government (MSIT). In addition, it was supported by Seoul National University Bundang Hospital Research fund (02-2023-0012). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish or preparation of the manuscript.
| Alcohol dose in 2002-2003b) | Alcohol dose in 2005-2007b) |
Total |
Male |
Female |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. of cases | Incidence ratec) | HR (95% CI)d) | No. of cases | Incidence ratec) | HR (95% CI)e) | No. of cases | Incidence ratec) | HR (95% CI)e) | ||
| Non-drinker | Non-drinker | 1,917 | 102.3 | 1.00 | 936 | 170.0 | 1.00 | 981 | 74.1 | 1.00 |
| Mild | 347 | 133.1 | 1.14 (1.01-1.29) | 279 | 177.3 | 1.17 (1.02-1.34) | 68 | 65.9 | 1.05 (0.82-1.35) | |
| Moderate | 42 | 154.4 | 1.08 (0.80-1.48) | 39 | 210.2 | 1.16 (0.84-1.60) | 3 | 34.7 | 0.58 (0.19-1.81) | |
| Heavy | 38 | 197.4 | 1.37 (0.99-1.90) | 30 | 220.3 | 1.27 (0.88-1.83) | 8 | 142.2 | 1.97 (0.98-3.96) | |
| Mild | Non-drinker | 511 | 138.5 | 1.07 (0.96-1.20) | 418 | 175.4 | 1.05 (0.93-1.18) | 93 | 71.3 | 1.28 (0.89-1.83) |
| Mild | 1,171 | 137.6 | 1.00 | 1,121 | 149.9 | 1.00 | 50 | 48.5 | 1.00 | |
| Moderate | 175 | 178.6 | 1.15 (0.98-1.35) | 170 | 202.8 | 1.17 (0.99-1.37) | 5 | 35.4 | 0.76 (0.30-1.91) | |
| Heavy | 92 | 185.9 | 1.17 (0.95-1.45) | 91 | 199.7 | 1.19 (0.96-1.47) | 1 | 25.5 | 0.47 (0.06-3.43) | |
| Moderate | Non-drinker | 76 | 180.0 | 0.93 (0.68-1.26) | 67 | 208.2 | 0.90 (0.65-1.24) | 9 | 89.7 | 1.51 (0.43-5.21) |
| Mild | 153 | 155.7 | 0.80 (0.63-1.02) | 143 | 166.0 | 0.78 (0.61-0.99) | 10 | 82.4 | 1.44 (0.45-4.64) | |
| Moderate | 125 | 200.5 | 1.00 | 121 | 220.1 | 1.00 | 4 | 54.3 | 1.00 | |
| Heavy | 94 | 234.1 | 1.13 (0.86-1.47) | 91 | 242.2 | 1.10 (0.84-1.44) | 3 | 116.4 | 2.00 (0.44-9.09) | |
| Heavy | Non-drinker | 58 | 170.8 | 1.04 (0.74-1.46) | 53 | 204.2 | 1.08 (0.76-1.52) | 5 | 62.5 | 0.42 (0.10-1.86) |
| Mild | 79 | 160.1 | 0.87 (0.66-1.14) | 77 | 167.7 | 0.87 (0.65-1.15) | 2 | 58.8 | 0.58 (0.09-3.60) | |
| Moderate | 70 | 191.0 | 1.00 (0.75-1.34) | 69 | 205.0 | 1.02 (0.76-1.36) | 1 | 33.5 | 0.43 (0.04-4.17) | |
| Heavy | 135 | 186.7 | 1.00 | 132 | 193.4 | 1.00 | 3 | 74.0 | 1.00 | |
CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio.
a) With consideration of 3-year latency period,
b) Male: mild, < 15 g/day; moderate, 15-29.9 g/day; heavy, ≥ 30 g/day; female: mild, < 7.5 g/day; moderate, 7.5-14.9 g/day; heavy, ≥ 15 g/day,
c) Cases per 100,000 person-year,
d) Adjuster for age, sex, smoking status, physical activity, body mass index, past history of diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and dyslipidemia,
e) Adjuster for age, smoking status, physical activity, body mass index, past history of diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and dyslipidemia.
| Alcohol consumption behavior change |
Total |
Male |
Female |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. of cases | Incidence rateb) | HR (95% CI)c) | No. of cases | Incidence rateb) | HR (95% CI)d) | No. of cases | Incidence rateb) | HR (95% CI)d) | |
| Non-drinker | 1,917 | 102.3 | 0.92 (0.85-1.00) | 936 | 170.0 | 0.89 (0.81-0.97) | 981 | 74.1 | 1.11 (0.84-1.45) |
| Quitter | 645 | 144.9 | 1.05 (0.96-1.16) | 538 | 181.5 | 1.05 (0.95-1.17) | 107 | 72.0 | 1.19 (0.86-1.65) |
| Reducer | 302 | 163.9 | 0.99 (0.87-1.12) | 289 | 174.4 | 0.97 (0.86-1.11) | 13 | 70.2 | 1.37 (0.75-2.51) |
| Sustainer | 1,431 | 145.2 | 1.00 | 1,374 | 157.8 | 1.00 | 57 | 49.8 | 1.00 |
| Increaser | 788 | 159.3 | 1.11 (1.02-1.21) | 700 | 196.3 | 1.12 (1.01-1.22) | 88 | 63.7 | 1.14 (0.81-1.59) |
CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio.
a) With consideration of 3-year of latency period,
b) Cases per 100,000 person-year,
c) Adjuster for age, sex, smoking status, physical activity, body mass index, past history of diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and dyslipidemia,
d) Adjuster for age, smoking status, physical activity, body mass index, past history of diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and dyslipidemia.
| Characteristic | Non-drinker (n=147,022) | Quitter (n=34,928) | Reducer (n=14,480) | Sustainer (n=75,209) | Increaser (n=38,553) | p-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline alcohol consumption level | ||||||
| Non-drinker | 147,022 (100) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23,830 (61.8) | < 0.01 |
| Mild | 0 | 28,739 (82.3) | 0 | 64,484 (85.7) | 11,496 (29.8) | |
| Moderate | 0 | 3,419 (9.8) | 7,674 (53.0) | 4,941 (6.6) | 3,227 (8.4) | |
| Heavy | 0 | 2,770 (7.9) | 6,806 (47.0) | 5,784 (7.7) | 0 | |
| Age (yr) | 57.5±9.5 | 55.5±9.2 | 54.5±8.6 | 52.6±7.8 | 54.2±8.8 | < 0.01 |
| Sex | ||||||
| Male | 43,685 (29.7) | 23,428 (67.1) | 13,054 (90.1) | 66,466 (88.4) | 27,928 (72.4) | < 0.01 |
| Female | 103,337 (70.3) | 11,500 (32.9) | 1,426 (9.9) | 8,743 (11.6) | 10,625 (27.6) | |
| Smoking status | ||||||
| Non-smoker | 128,245 (87.2) | 28,185 (80.7) | 5,456 (37.7) | 31,848 (42.4) | 19,629 (50.9) | < 0.01 |
| Former smoker | 4,752 (3.2) | 1,970 (5.6) | 2,115 (14.6) | 12,671 (16.8) | 4,811 (12.5) | |
| Current smoker | 10,271 (7.0) | 3,549 (10.2) | 5,800 (40.0) | 25,609 (34.0) | 11,521 (30.0) | |
| Missing | 3,754 (2.6) | 1,224 (3.5) | 1,109 (7.7) | 5,081 (6.8) | 2,592 (6.7) | |
| Income | ||||||
| Q1 | 22,810 (15.5) | 4,868 (13.9) | 1,824 (12.6) | 7,668 (10.2) | 5,055 (13.1) | < 0.01 |
| Q2 | 22,464 (15.3) | 4,835 (13.8) | 1,899 (13.1) | 7,636 (10.2) | 5,382 (14.0) | |
| Q3 | 24,123 (16.4) | 5,628 (16.1) | 2,549 (17.6) | 10,438 (13.9) | 6,413 (16.6) | |
| Q4 | 29,402 (20.0) | 7,090 (20.3) | 3,217 (22.2) | 15,858 (21.1) | 8,050 (20.9) | |
| Q5 | 47,802 (32.5) | 12,425 (35.6) | 4,966 (34.3) | 33,544 (44.6) | 13,582 (35.2) | |
| Missing | 421 (0.3) | 82 (0.2) | 25 (0.2) | 65 (0.1) | 71 (0.2) | |
| BMI (kg/m2) | 23.9±3.0 | 24.0±2.9 | 24.2±2.8 | 24.1±2.7 | 24.0±2.8 | < 0.01 |
| Physical activity/wk | ||||||
| 0 | 81,186 (55.2) | 20,939 (60.0) | 6,071 (41.9) | 25,708 (34.2) | 16,874 (43.8) | < 0.01 |
| 1-2 | 32,021 (21.8) | 7,166 (20.5) | 4,717 (32.6) | 29,057 (38.6) | 11,539 (29.9) | |
| ≥ 3 | 31,648 (21.5) | 6,145 (17.6) | 3,463 (23.9) | 19,607 (26.1) | 9,622 (25.0) | |
| Missing | 2,167 (1.5) | 678 (1.9) | 229 (1.6) | 837 (1.1) | 518 (1.3) | |
| Fasting glucose, mean±SD | 96.9±25.4 | 98.8±27.9 | 102.7±31.7 | 99.4±26.3 | 99.7±27.4 | < 0.01 |
| Total cholesterol, mean±SD | 200.3±37.3 | 197.7±37.1 | 197.6±37.0 | 197.4±35.6 | 197.6±36.6 | < 0.01 |
| SBP, mean±SD | 125.1±16.7 | 125.9±16.4 | 129.0±16.4 | 126.8±15.7 | 127.0±16.4 | < 0.01 |
| DBP, mean±SD | 77.3±10.5 | 78.6±10.6 | 81.0±10.7 | 79.9±10.5 | 79.5±10.7 | < 0.01 |
| DM past history | ||||||
| No | 127,477 (86.7) | 30,567 (87.5) | 12,677 (87.5) | 67,379 (89.6) | 34,172 (88.6) | < 0.01 |
| Yes | 19,545 (13.3) | 4,361 (12.5) | 1,803 (12.5) | 7,830 (10.4) | 4,381 (11.4) | |
| HTN past history | ||||||
| No | 110,158 (74.9) | 26,802 (76.7) | 11,106 (76.7) | 59,516 (79.1) | 30,355 (78.7) | < 0.01 |
| Yes | 36,864 (25.1) | 8,126 (23.3) | 3,374 (23.3) | 15,693 (20.9) | 8,198 (21.3) | |
| Dyslipidemia past history | ||||||
| No | 124,632 (84.8) | 30,219 (86.5) | 12,653 (87.4) | 66,248 (88.1) | 33,851 (87.8) | < 0.01 |
| Yes | 22,390 (15.2) | 4,709 (13.5) | 1,827 (12.6) | 8,961 (11.9) | 4,702 (12.2) |
| Alcohol dose in 2002-2003 |
Alcohol dose in 2005-2007 |
Total |
Male |
Female |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. of cases | Incidence rate |
HR (95% CI) |
No. of cases | Incidence rate |
HR (95% CI) |
No. of cases | Incidence rate |
HR (95% CI) |
||
| Non-drinker | Non-drinker | 1,917 | 102.3 | 1.00 | 936 | 170.0 | 1.00 | 981 | 74.1 | 1.00 |
| Mild | 347 | 133.1 | 1.14 (1.01-1.29) | 279 | 177.3 | 1.17 (1.02-1.34) | 68 | 65.9 | 1.05 (0.82-1.35) | |
| Moderate | 42 | 154.4 | 1.08 (0.80-1.48) | 39 | 210.2 | 1.16 (0.84-1.60) | 3 | 34.7 | 0.58 (0.19-1.81) | |
| Heavy | 38 | 197.4 | 1.37 (0.99-1.90) | 30 | 220.3 | 1.27 (0.88-1.83) | 8 | 142.2 | 1.97 (0.98-3.96) | |
| Mild | Non-drinker | 511 | 138.5 | 1.07 (0.96-1.20) | 418 | 175.4 | 1.05 (0.93-1.18) | 93 | 71.3 | 1.28 (0.89-1.83) |
| Mild | 1,171 | 137.6 | 1.00 | 1,121 | 149.9 | 1.00 | 50 | 48.5 | 1.00 | |
| Moderate | 175 | 178.6 | 1.15 (0.98-1.35) | 170 | 202.8 | 1.17 (0.99-1.37) | 5 | 35.4 | 0.76 (0.30-1.91) | |
| Heavy | 92 | 185.9 | 1.17 (0.95-1.45) | 91 | 199.7 | 1.19 (0.96-1.47) | 1 | 25.5 | 0.47 (0.06-3.43) | |
| Moderate | Non-drinker | 76 | 180.0 | 0.93 (0.68-1.26) | 67 | 208.2 | 0.90 (0.65-1.24) | 9 | 89.7 | 1.51 (0.43-5.21) |
| Mild | 153 | 155.7 | 0.80 (0.63-1.02) | 143 | 166.0 | 0.78 (0.61-0.99) | 10 | 82.4 | 1.44 (0.45-4.64) | |
| Moderate | 125 | 200.5 | 1.00 | 121 | 220.1 | 1.00 | 4 | 54.3 | 1.00 | |
| Heavy | 94 | 234.1 | 1.13 (0.86-1.47) | 91 | 242.2 | 1.10 (0.84-1.44) | 3 | 116.4 | 2.00 (0.44-9.09) | |
| Heavy | Non-drinker | 58 | 170.8 | 1.04 (0.74-1.46) | 53 | 204.2 | 1.08 (0.76-1.52) | 5 | 62.5 | 0.42 (0.10-1.86) |
| Mild | 79 | 160.1 | 0.87 (0.66-1.14) | 77 | 167.7 | 0.87 (0.65-1.15) | 2 | 58.8 | 0.58 (0.09-3.60) | |
| Moderate | 70 | 191.0 | 1.00 (0.75-1.34) | 69 | 205.0 | 1.02 (0.76-1.36) | 1 | 33.5 | 0.43 (0.04-4.17) | |
| Heavy | 135 | 186.7 | 1.00 | 132 | 193.4 | 1.00 | 3 | 74.0 | 1.00 | |
| Alcohol consumption behavior change | Total |
Male |
Female |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. of cases | Incidence rate |
HR (95% CI) |
No. of cases | Incidence rate |
HR (95% CI) |
No. of cases | Incidence rate |
HR (95% CI) |
|
| Non-drinker | 1,917 | 102.3 | 0.92 (0.85-1.00) | 936 | 170.0 | 0.89 (0.81-0.97) | 981 | 74.1 | 1.11 (0.84-1.45) |
| Quitter | 645 | 144.9 | 1.05 (0.96-1.16) | 538 | 181.5 | 1.05 (0.95-1.17) | 107 | 72.0 | 1.19 (0.86-1.65) |
| Reducer | 302 | 163.9 | 0.99 (0.87-1.12) | 289 | 174.4 | 0.97 (0.86-1.11) | 13 | 70.2 | 1.37 (0.75-2.51) |
| Sustainer | 1,431 | 145.2 | 1.00 | 1,374 | 157.8 | 1.00 | 57 | 49.8 | 1.00 |
| Increaser | 788 | 159.3 | 1.11 (1.02-1.21) | 700 | 196.3 | 1.12 (1.01-1.22) | 88 | 63.7 | 1.14 (0.81-1.59) |
Values are presented as number (%) or mean±SD. BMI, body mass index; DBP, diastolic blood pressure; DM, diabetes mellitus; HTN, hypertension; Q, quintile; SBP, systolic blood pressure; SD, standard deviation. With consideration of 3-year latency period.
CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio. With consideration of 3-year latency period, Male: mild, < 15 g/day; moderate, 15-29.9 g/day; heavy, ≥ 30 g/day; female: mild, < 7.5 g/day; moderate, 7.5-14.9 g/day; heavy, ≥ 15 g/day, Cases per 100,000 person-year, Adjuster for age, sex, smoking status, physical activity, body mass index, past history of diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and dyslipidemia, Adjuster for age, smoking status, physical activity, body mass index, past history of diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and dyslipidemia.
CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio. With consideration of 3-year of latency period, Cases per 100,000 person-year, Adjuster for age, sex, smoking status, physical activity, body mass index, past history of diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and dyslipidemia, Adjuster for age, smoking status, physical activity, body mass index, past history of diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and dyslipidemia.
