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Original Article Impact of 21-Gene Recurrence Score on Chemotherapy Decision in Invasive Ductal Carcinoma of Breast with Nodal Micrometastases
Wei-Rong Chen, MD1, Jia-Peng Deng, MD2, Jun Wang, MD3, Jia-Yuan Sun, MD2, Zhen-Yu He, MD2,, San-Gang Wu, MD3,
Cancer Research and Treatment : Official Journal of Korean Cancer Association 2019;51(4):1437-1448.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4143/crt.2018.611
Published online: March 4, 2019

1Department of Breast Surgery, Zhuhai Maternity and Child Health Hospital, Zhuhai, China

2Department of Radiation Oncology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Collaborative Innovation Center of Cancer Medicine, Guangzhou, China

3Department of Radiation Oncology, Cancer Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xiamen University, Teaching Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Xiamen, China

Correspondence: Zhen-Yu He, MD Department of Radiation Oncology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Collaborative Innovation Center of Cancer Medicine, 651 Dongfeng Road East, Guangzhou 510060, China
Tel: 86-20-87343543 Fax: 86-20-87343392 E-mail: hezhy@sysucc.org.cn
Co-correspondence: San-Gang Wu, MD Department of Radiation Oncology, Cancer Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xiamen University, Teaching Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Xiamen 361003, China
Tel: 86-592-2139531 Fax: 86-592-2137322 E-mail: unowu12345@hotmail.com
*Wei-Rong Chen and Jia-Peng Deng contributed equally to this work.
• Received: November 7, 2018   • Accepted: March 1, 2019

Copyright © 2019 by the Korean Cancer Association

This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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  • Purpose
    The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of 21-gene recurrence score (RS) on predicting prognosis and chemotherapy decision in node micrometastases (N1mi) breast invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC).
  • Methods
    Patients with stage T1-2N1mi and estrogen receptor-positive IDC diagnosed between 2004 and 2015 were included. The associations of 21-gene RS with breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS), chemotherapy decision, and benefit of chemotherapy were analyzed.
  • Results
    We identified 4,758 patients including 1,403 patients (29.5%) treated with adjuvant chemotherapy. In the traditional RS cutoffs, 2,831 (59.5%), 1,634 (34.3%), and 293 (6.2%) patients were in the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk RS groups, respectively. In 3,853 patients with human epidermal growth factor receptor-2 (HER2) status available, most patients were HER2-negative disease (98.3%). A higher RS was independently related to chemotherapy receipt, and 14.0%, 47.7%, and 77.8% of patients in the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk RS groups received chemotherapy, respectively. The multivariate analysis indicated that a higher RS was related to worse BCSS (p < 0.001). The 5-year BCSS rates were 99.3%, 97.4%, and 91.9% in patients with low-, intermediate-, and high-risk RS groups, respectively (p < 0.001). However, chemotherapy receipt did not correlate with better BCSS in low-, intermediate-, or high-risk RS groups. There were similar trends using Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment RS cutoffs.
  • Conclusion
    The 21-gene RS does predict outcome and impact on chemotherapy decision of N1mi breast IDC. Large cohort and long-term outcomes studies are needed to identify the effects of chemotherapy in N1mi patients by different 21-gene RS groups.
With advances in diagnostics, histopathology, and molecular analysis of breast cancer, an increasing number of patients are being diagnosed with node micrometastatic disease (≤ 2 mm axillary node metastasis, N1mi) [1-3], accounting for approximately 15% of all node-positive patients [4]. There is dispute about the clinical value of N1mi disease in breast cancer. Several early studies showed similar outcomes between node-negative (N0) and N1mi breast cancer [5-7]. The treatment algorithms in N1mi disease are regarded as equal to N0 disease in the current National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) guidelines [8]. However, in more recent studies, patients with N1mi disease had worse prognosis compared to those with N0 disease [9,10]. There is a paucity of prospective studies to address the effectiveness of chemotherapy in N1mi patients. Gene expression profiling can provide better risk stratification than traditional clinicopathologic characteristics and can more accurately predict the outcome of chemotherapy for breast cancer patients. Personalized treatment through use of specific tumor biology can potentially reduce unnecessary chemotherapy and is key to precision care for breast cancer [11,12].
The 21-gene recurrence score (RS) assay (Genomic Health, Inc., Redwood City, CA) employs reverse-transcriptase polymerase chain reaction to assess the expression of 16 related genes and five reference genes from breast cancer tissue, and reports an RS providing a stratification of long-term distant relapse risk and to determine the survival benefit of chemotherapy receipt [13,14]. The current NCCN guidelines have stated that 21-gene RS testing can be considered in N0 and one to three positive lymph nodes (N1) disease to guide the decision for adjuvant therapy [8]. The 21-gene RS assay is also recommended in patients with N1mi disease. However, limited studies are available to assess whether the 21-gene RS results are useful in guiding decisions regarding chemotherapy beyond standard clinicopathologic characteristics [15]. In light of this, we performed a population-based study to assess the predictive and prognostic value of the 21-gene RS assay on decision for chemotherapy in N1mi patients.
1. Patients
The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program is a population-based cancer registry maintained by the National Cancer Institute. It records cancer incidence, the first course of treatment, and vital status for approximately 28% of the population of the United States. The SEER 18 Regs (Excl AK) Custom Data Malignant Breast (with Oncotype DX and Additional Treatment Fields) dataset was released in 2017, which including Oncotype DX related variables for invasive breast cancer patients diagnosed between 2004 and 2015 [16]. We have obtained permission to access the SEER database (Authorization Code: 11025-Nov2016). The SEER was queried to identify patients diagnosed with stage T1-2 (tumor size ≤ 5 cm), N1mi, and estrogen receptor (ER)–positive breast invasive ductal carcinoma between 2004 and 2015. The subtypes of invasive ductal carcinoma including infiltrating duct carcinoma not otherwise specified (8,500 /3), infiltrating duct and lobular carcinoma (8,522/3), and infiltrating duct mixed with other types of carcinoma (8,523/3), according to the International Classification of Diseases for Oncology, 3rd edition. Patients with no positive pathology diagnosis, as well as those with data unavailable for race/ethnicity, progesterone receptor (PR) status, tumor grade, and/or surgical procedure were excluded.
2. Patient variables
The following demographic and clinicopathological variables were included for analysis: year of diagnosis, age, race/ethnicity, tumor size, grade, PR status, surgical procedure, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, traditional RS cutoffs, and Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment (TAILORx) RS cutoffs. All patients were staged using the American Joint Committee on Cancer system 6th edition, those with nodal spread limited to micrometastases no larger than 2 mm were defined as N1mi stage. Traditional RS cutoffs was classified as low-risk (RS < 18), intermediate-risk (RS 18-30), or high-risk (RS > 30) [17], and the optimized RS cut-offs (TAILORx RS cutoffs) were classified into low-risk (RS < 11), intermediate-risk (RS 11-25), and high-risk (RS > 25) groups [18]. Data on human epidermal growth factor receptor-2 (HER2) status began to be recorded in 2010. Therefore, we only assessed the HER2 data after 2010. The primary endpoint of this study was breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS).
3. Statistical analysis
The patient variables between treatment arms were compared using chi-square test. Predict factors associated with chemotherapy receipt were assessed using binomial logistic regression. BCSS was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier methods and the log-rank test for patients diagnosed between 2004 and 2012. Multivariable Cox regression was performed to assess for variables that had an impact on BCSS in patients diagnosed between 2004 and 2012. We did not include the HER2 status in the prognostic analysis. All analyses were performed using IBM SPSS ver. 22.0 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY). A p-value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.
4. Ethical statement
Using data from SEER was exempt from Institutional Review Board approval because patient information is de-identified.
We identified 4,758 patients. Patient characteristics are presented in Table 1. Fig. 1 shows the patient selection flowchart of this study. The majority of patients were diagnosed after 2010 (n=3,875, 81.4%), aged ≥ 50 years (n=3,636, 76.4%), non-Hispanic white (n=3,537, 74.3%), moderately or poorly/undifferentiated disease (n=3,492, 73.4%), T1 category (n=3,455, 72.6%), and PR-positive status (n=4,418, 92.9%). In 3,853 patients with HER2 status available, most patients were HER2 negative disease (n=3,788, 98.3%). The median RS in this study was 16 (range, 0 to 81). In the traditional RS cutoffs, a total of 2,831 (59.5%), 1,634 (34.3%), and 293 (6.2%) patients were in the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk RS groups, respectively, while 22.2% (n=1,057), 64.6% (n=3,076), and 13.1% (n=625) were in the TAILORx RS cutoffs, respectively.
We included 1,403 patients (29.5%) treated with adjuvant chemotherapy, and 70.5% (n=3,355) of patients did not receive adjuvant chemotherapy. Patient characteristics differed significantly depending on whether chemotherapy was given (Table 1). Patients with diagnosis at later years (p < 0.001), younger age (p < 0.001), poorly/undifferentiated disease (p < 0.001), T2 category (p < 0.001), PR-negative disease (p < 0.001), no receipt of radiotherapy (p=0.007), and higher RS were more likely to receive chemotherapy. In the traditional RS cutoffs, 14.0%, 47.7%, and 77.8% of patients in the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk RS groups received chemotherapy, respectively, and 10.6%, 27.0%, and 73.4% of patients in the TAILORx RS cutoffs received chemotherapy, respectively. The percentage of chemotherapy receipt in different 21-gene RS groups by year of diagnosis is presented in Fig. 2. The results of binomial regression analysis showed that year of diagnosis, age at diagnosis, tumor grade, traditional RS cutoffs, and TAILORx RS cutoffs were independent predictors for chemotherapy receipt (Table 2).
We only included patients diagnosed between 2004 and 2012 to analyze prognostic factors related to BCSS (n=2,599) (Table 3). With a median follow-up of 58 months (range, 0 to 142 months), the traditional RS cutoffs (hazard ratio [HR], 2.774; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.823 to 4.221; p < 0.001) and TAILORx RS cutoffs (HR, 4.748; 95% CI, 2.752 to 8.193; p < 0.001) were both independent prognostic factors related to BCSS in the traditional RS cutoffs and TAILORx cutoffs multivariate Cox prognostic models, respectively. However, the traditional RS cutoffs (HR, 1.174; 95% CI, 0.654 to 2.109; p=0.591) were not independently associated with BCSS after the traditional RS cutoffs and TAILORx cutoffs were both included in the multivariate analysis, while TAILORx RS cutoffs (HR, 4.748; 95% CI, 2.752 to 8.193; p < 0.001) remained an independent prognostic indicator related to BCSS. In the traditional RS cutoffs, the 5-year BCSS rates were 99.3%, 97.4%, and 91.9% in patients with low-, intermediate-, and high-risk RS groups, respectively (p < 0.001) (Fig. 3A). In the TAILORx RS cutoffs, the 5-year BCSS rates were 99.4%, 99.1%, and 91.5% in patients with low-, intermediate-, and high-risk RS, respectively (p < 0.001) (Fig. 3B). Chemotherapy receipt was not associated with better BCSS in the three models.
We further assessed the impact of chemotherapy on BCSS in different 21-gene RS groups (Table 4). The results of multivariate Cox analysis showed that using both traditional RS cutoffs and TAILORx RS cutoffs, the receipt of chemotherapy did not correlate with better BCSS in patients with low-, intermediate-, or high-risk RS groups. The BCSS curves by whether chemotherapy was given are shown in Fig. 4A-F. Patients with non-Hispanic Black had poor BCSS (HR, 7.248; 95% CI, 1.317 to 39.893; p=0.023) compared to non-Hispanic White in the low-risk RS group with traditional RS cutoffs. In addition, patients with other race/ethnicity (92.5% of patients were non-Hispanic Asian/Pacific) had poor BCSS (HR, 4.749; 95% CI, 1.454 to 15.512; p=0.010) compared to non-Hispanic White in the intermediate-risk RS group with TAILORx RS cutoffs.
In this study, we assessed the impact of 21-gene RS testing in chemotherapy decision for patients with stage N1mi breast cancer. Our results indicate that similar to patients with N0 breast cancer, 21-gene RS assay results are also associated with the percentage of chemotherapy receipt in N1mi breast cancer. However, the outcome may not improve among patients in the high-risk RS group.
There was a significant difference in the percentage of chemotherapy receipt among patients with N1mi disease. In a study from the National Cancer Database, 56.5% of patients were treated with chemotherapy after mastectomy [19]. However, in one study from Sweden, only 24.4% of patients with N1mi disease received chemotherapy [9]. In our study, 29.5% of patients received chemotherapy, and these patients tended to be younger, diagnosed in early years, had more high-grade tumors, and had a higher RS compared to those patients not treated with chemotherapy. The rates of chemotherapy receipt among the low-risk RS group decreased over the study period. In our study, 59.5%, 34.3%, and 6.2% of patients were in the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk RS groups using the traditional RS cutoffs, respectively, which was similar to patients with N0 and N1 disease [20,21]. In addition, 14.0%, 47.7%, and 77.8% of patients received chemotherapy in the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk RS groups using the traditional RS cutoffs, respectively, which was also similar to the distribution observed among N0 and N1 patients, providing support for the similarity of breast cancer gene expression levels in these patient populations [20]. Our findings indicate that patients with high RS results were more likely to receive chemotherapy compared to those with a low RS. These findings suggest that 21-gene RS test results also have clinical utility in guiding chemotherapy decision for N1mi patients.
Several previous studies have indicated that there is no significant difference in survival outcomes between patients with N1mi disease and those with N0 disease [5,6,7,22]. However, other studies provide evidence that N1mi status confers a worse prognosis compared to patients with N0 disease [9,10], and adjuvant therapy may improve disease-free survival [23]. Our results indicate that 21-gene RS testing may also provide prognostic information for patients with N1mi disease. Higher RS were related to a higher risk of breast cancer-related mortality. A study from a large prospectively designed registry also showed that the 5-year distant relapse rate in low-, intermediate-, and high-risk RS was 1.2%, 8.1%, and 26.4%, respectively [24]. If various 21-gene RS groups reflect differing biological behavior among patients with N1mi disease, it may be possible to promote better outcomes through administration of chemotherapy to a high-risk RS group with worsening prognosis.
There is a paucity of prospective data to address the value of chemotherapy in N1mi patients. A study from the Netherlands showed that adjuvant therapy may improve disease-free survival. However, only a limited number of patients were treated with chemotherapy, and most of them received hormonal therapy [23]. A recent study from the National Cancer Database found that receipt of chemotherapy was related to better overall survival (HR, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.48 to 0.64; p < 0.001) [19]. However, there was potential selection bias because the results of BCSS were not reported. In our study, we only included patients with favorable clinicopathological features including small tumor size and ER-positive disease, and we did not find that receipt of chemotherapy was associated with better BCSS in patients with N1mi disease. An American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) panel also indicated that chemotherapy may not be beneficial or required for patients with HER2-negative tumors with micrometastatic nodal disease [25].
In patients with N0 and N1 disease, several studies have found that chemotherapy receipt was associated with better outcomes among patients in the high-risk RS group, but was not related to better outcomes in low- and intermediate-risk RS groups [13,14]. However, our study could not identify a specific 21-gene RS subgroup which may benefit from chemotherapy. The results were similar among patients with traditional RS cutoffs or TAILORx RS cutoffs. In the recommendation of the ASCO panel, chemotherapy may offer no survival benefit in patients with an estimated distant recurrence risk of less than 15% at 10 years using the 21-gene RS test [25]. In our study, even among patients in the high-risk RS group, the 5-year BCSS was 91.9% and 91.5% using traditional RS cutoffs or TAILORx RS cutoffs, respectively, suggesting that patients with high-risk RS may also not benefit from chemotherapy. However, our study could not draw a conclusion regarding the predictive value of the 21-gene RS assay on chemotherapy. More studies are needed to investigate the role of chemotherapy in patients with N1mi disease.
In our study, patients with non-Hispanic Black had poor survival outcome than non-Hispanic White in the low-risk RS group with traditional RS cutoffs, and patients with other race/ethnicity had poor survival outcome compared to non-Hispanic White in the intermediate-risk RS group with TAILORx RS cutoffs. Racial disparities in mortality in different 21-gene RS groups may be related to the racial differences in tumor biology among hormone receptor–positive, HER2-negative breast tumors [26]. Therefore, advancement of our knowledge in the biologic diversity of 21-gene RS testing among different race/ethnicity groups could lead to improvement in survival outcomes.
This study is limited by the retrospective design and the potential for selection bias. Second, we do not have specific information regarding endocrine therapy, endocrine therapy adherence, chemotherapy regimen, the sequence of chemotherapy and surgery, as well as disease recurrence after primary treatment and history of treatment after disease recurrence. However, in the United States, the taxane-based regimens had a sharp increase after 2005, and the majority of patients were receiving taxane-based chemotherapy, especially for patients who received 21-gene RS testing [27]. In addition, the outcomes of our study were similar to previous prospective trials including T1-2N0, ER-positive, and HER2-negative breast cancer patients who received endocrine therapy with or without chemotherapy [18,28], suggesting that most patients also adhered to adjuvant endocrine therapy in our study. Third, HER2 status and the receipt of anti-HER2 therapy were not available in the current SEER database. However, most patients with HER2 status available were HER2 negative disease (98.3%). Therefore, we can assume that the vast majority of patients in our study have their 21-gene RS testing based on clinical practice recommendations [29]. Moreover, as the median follow-up time in our study was only 58 months, longer-term results are needed to draw definitive conclusions on the utilization of 21-gene RS testing in prognostic assessment and chemotherapy decision-making of N1mi disease. Finally, it has been indicated that there are many inaccuracies in the SEER program, with high rates of under-reporting for chemotherapy receipt [30]. However, the primary strength of our study is that we assessed the impact of 21-gene RS testing on chemotherapy decision for N1mi disease, using a large population-based cancer registry.
In conclusion, our study suggests that the 21-gene RS assay does predict prognosis and impact on chemotherapy decision-making in breast cancer patients with N1mi disease. Further study with a large cohort and long-term outcomes is needed to establish the outcome of chemotherapy in N1mi patients by different 21-gene RS groups.

Conflict of interest relevant to this article was not reported.

Acknowledgements
This work was partly supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (81872459, 81803050), Natural Science Foundation of Fujian Province (No. 2016J01635), Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province (No. 2018A030313666), and the Science and Technology Planning Projects of Xiamen Science & Technology Bureau (No. 3502Z20174070).
Fig. 1.
The patient selection flowchart of this study. RS, recurrence score; ER, estrogen receptor; PR, progesterone receptor.
crt-2018-611f1.jpg
Fig. 2.
The percentage of chemotherapy receipt by 21-gene recurrence score (RS) groups. (A) Traditional RS cutoffs. (B) Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment (TAILORx) RS cutoffs.
crt-2018-611f2.jpg
Fig. 3.
The breast cancer-specific survival by 21-gene recurrence score (RS) groups. (A) Traditional RS cutoffs. (B) Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment (TAILORx) RS cutoffs.
crt-2018-611f3.jpg
Fig. 4.
The association of chemotherapy with breast cancer-specific survival by 21-gene recurrence score (RS) groups. Traditional RS cutoffs: low-risk (A), intermediate-risk (B), and high-risk (C). Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment (TAILORx) RS cutoffs: low-risk (D), intermediate-risk (E), and high-risk (F).
crt-2018-611f4.jpg
Table 1.
Association between patient characteristics and chemotherapy receipt
Variable No. No chemotherapy Chemotherapy p-value
Year of diagnosis
 2004-2006 101 51 (1.5) 50 (3.6) < 0.001
 2007-2009 782 504 (15.0) 278 (19.8)
 2010-2012 1,716 1,181 (35.2) 535 (38.1)
 2013-2015 2,159 1,619 (48.3) 540 (38.5)
Age at diagnosis (yr)
 < 50 1,122 637 (19.0) 485 (34.6) < 0.001
 ≥ 50 3,636 2,718 (81.0) 918 (65.4)
Race/Ethnicity
 Non-Hispanic White 3,537 2,514 (74.9) 1,023 (72.9) 0.462
 Non-Hispanic Black 349 239 (7.1) 110 (7.8)
 Hispanic (all races) 438 298 (8.9) 140 (10.0)
 Other 434 304 (9.1) 130 (9.3)
Grade
 Well differentiated 1,266 1,021 (30.4) 245 (17.5) < 0.001
 Moderately differentiated 2,691 1,925 (57.4) 766 (54.6)
 Poorly/Undifferentiated 801 409 (12.2) 392 (27.9)
Tumor stage
 T1 3,455 2,508 (74.8) 947 (67.5) < 0.001
 T2 1,303 847 (25.2) 456 (32.5)
PR status
 Negative 340 174 (5.2) 166 (11.8) < 0.001
 Positive 4,418 3,181 (94.8) 1,237 (88.2)
Surgical procedure
 Breast conserving surgery 3,018 2,155 (64.2) 863 (61.5) 0.076
 Mastectomy 1,740 1,200 (35.8) 540 (38.5)
Radiotherapy
 No 1,989 1,361 (40.6) 628 (44.8) 0.007
 Yes 2,769 1,994 (59.4) 775 (55.2)
21-Gene recurrence score (traditional cutoffs)
 Low-risk 2,831 2,435 (72.6) 396 (28.2) < 0.001
 Intermediate-risk 1,634 855 (25.5) 779 (55.5)
 High-risk 293 65 (1.9) 228 (16.3)
21-Gene recurrence score (TAILORx cutoffs)
 Low-risk 1,057 945 (28.2) 112 (8.0) < 0.001
 Intermediate-risk 3,076 2,244 (66.9) 832 (59.3)
 High-risk 625 166 (4.9) 459 (32.7)

Values are presented as number (%). T, tumor; PR, progesterone receptor; TAILORx, Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment.

Table 2.
Predictors of chemotherapy receipt
Variable OR 95% CI p-value
Year of diagnosis
 2004-2006 1
 2007-2009 0.617 0.385-0.989 0.045
 2010-2012 0.506 0.321-0.799 0.003
 2013-2015 0.372 0.236-0.587 < 0.001
Age at diagnosis (yr)
 < 50 1
 ≥ 50 0.361 0.306-0.424 < 0.001
Race/Ethnicity
 Non-Hispanic White 1
 Non-Hispanic Black 1.020 0.771-1.348 0.891
 Hispanic (all races) 1.164 0.908-1.494 0.231
 Other 0.940 0.728-1.214 0.635
Grade
 Well differentiated 1
 Moderately differentiated 1.388 1.159-1.662 < 0.001
 Poorly/Undifferentiated 1.732 1.372-2.186 < 0.001
Tumor stage
 T1 1
 T2 1.130 0.960-1.332 0.142
PR status
 Negative 1
 Positive 0.843 0.645-1.101 0.209
Surgical procedure
 Breast conserving surgery 1
 Mastectomy 0.943 0.770-1.155 0.570
Radiotherapy
 No 1
 Yes 0.987 0.811-1.201 0.897
21-Gene recurrence score (traditional cutoffs)
 Low-risk 1
 Intermediate-risk 4.037 3.388-4.809 < 0.001
 High-risk 6.001 3.975-9.059 < 0.001
21-Gene recurrence score (TAILORx cutoffs)
 Low-risk 1
 Intermediate-risk 1.439 1.134-1.826 0.003
 High-risk 4.386 3.065-6.276 < 0.001

OR, odds radio; CI, confidence interval; T, tumor; PR, progesterone receptor; TAILORx, Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment.

Table 3.
Multivariate prognostic analysis of breast cancer-specific survival
Variable OR 95% CI p-value
Traditional RS cutoffs
 Year of diagnosis 1.162 0.951-1.420 0.143
 Age at diagnosis 2.254 1.009-5.036 0.048
 Race/Ethnicity 1.322 1.027-1.701 0.030
 Grade 2.024 1.259-3.255 0.004
 Tumor stage 1.365 0.756-2.466 0.302
 PR status 0.677 0.332-1.382 0.284
 Surgical procedure 1.415 0.682-2.936 0.351
 Radiotherapy 1.221 0.594-2.510 0.586
 Chemotherapy 1.616 0.855-3.055 0.139
 21-Gene RS 2.774 1.823-4.221 < 0.001
TAILORx RS cutoffs
 Year of diagnosis
 Age at diagnosis 2.338 1.049-5.213 0.038
 Race/Ethnicity 1.298 1.012-1.665 0.040
 Grade 1.852 1.157-2.963 0.010
 Tumor stage 1.307 0.722-2.366 0.377
 PR status 0.717 0.355-1.452 0.356
 Surgical procedure 1.443 0.698-2.983 0.322
 Radiotherapy 1.241 0.607-2.537 0.555
 Chemotherapy 1.430 0.756-2.703 0.271
 21-Gene RS 4.748 2.752-8.193 < 0.001
Traditional RS cutoffs+TAILORx RS cutoffs
 Year of diagnosis
 Age at diagnosis 2.338 1.049-5.213 0.038
 Race/Ethnicity 1.298 1.012-1.665 0.040
 Grade 1.852 1.157-2.963 0.010
 Tumor stage 1.311 0.724-2.372 0.371
 PR status 0.738 0.362-1.502 0.401
 Surgical procedure 1.445 0.700-2.983 0.320
 Radiotherapy 1.249 0.611-2.553 0.542
 Chemotherapy 1.382 0.723-2.640 0.328
 21-Gene RS (traditional cutoffs) 1.174 0.654-2.109 0.591
 21-Gene RS (TAILORx cutoffs) 4.748 2.752-8.193 < 0.001

OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; RS, recurrence score; PR, progesterone receptor; TAILORx, Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment.

Table 4.
Multivariate prognostic analysis of breast cancer-specific survival by different 21-gene RS groups
Variable Traditional RS cutoffs
TAILORx RS cutoffs
HR 95% CI p-value HR 95% CI p-value
Low-risk RS
 Year of diagnosis 1.137 0.329-3.926 0.839 4.856 0.269-87.812 0.285
 Age at diagnosis 4.097 0.488-34.388 0.194 - - 0.979
 Race/Ethnicity 1.784 1.113-2.861 0.016 0.872 0.211-3.603 0.850
 Grade 1.042 0.351-3.089 0.941 0.738 0.102-5.353 0.764
 Tumor stage 2.386 0.646-8.814 0.192 2.249 0.191-26.484 0.519
 PR status 0.142 0.030-0.670 0.014 - - 0.995
 Surgical procedure 1.785 0.291-10.957 0.531 - - 0.976
 Radiotherapy 1.312 0.215-7.998 0.768 - - 0.976
 Chemotherapy 1.933 0.469-7.974 0.362 - - 0.983
Intermediate-risk RS
 Year of diagnosis 2.193 0.932-5.158 0.072 1.474 0.552-3.934 0.439
 Age at diagnosis 2.601 0.776-8.715 0.121 2.635 0.714-9.718 0.146
 Race/Ethnicity 1.362 0.969-1.916 0.076 1.568 1.089-2.256 0.016
 Grade 2.442 1.309-4.557 0.005 2.278 1.091-4.752 0.028
 Tumor stage 1.176 0.511-2.703 0.703 1.464 0.539-3.978 0.455
 PR status 0.899 0.302-2.679 0.848 0.502 0.142-1.772 0.284
 Surgical procedure 1.425 0.490-4.140 0.515 2.288 0.901-4.752 0.082
 Radiotherapy 0.797 0.277-2.297 0.675 1.247 0.301-5.167 0.761
 Chemotherapy 1.751 0.781-3.926 0.174 1.386 0.522-3.682 0.512
High-risk RS
 Year of diagnosis 1.601 0.539-4.750 0.397 1.559 0.755-3.218 0.230
 Age at diagnosis 0.979 0.247-3.873 0.976 2.171 0.742-6.352 0.157
 Race/Ethnicity 0.527 0.172-1.614 0.262 1.078 0.735-1.580 0.702
 Grade 2.860 0.813-10.056 0.102 1.499 0.787-2.854 0.218
 Tumor stage 1.594 0.521-4.874 0.414 1.241 0.578-2.663 0.579
 PR status 0.608 0.201-1.835 0.377 0.760 0.332-1.739 0.516
 Surgical procedure 0.931 0.244-3.552 0.917 1.060 0.434-2.593 0.898
 Radiotherapy 2.615 0.817-8.371 0.106 1.230 0.513-2.950 0.642
 Chemotherapy 0.940 0.243-3.628 0.929 1.439 0.573-3.611 0.438

RS, recurrence score; TAILORx, Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment; HR, hazard ratios; CI, confidence interval; PR, progesterone receptor.

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Figure & Data

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      Impact of 21-Gene Recurrence Score on Chemotherapy Decision in Invasive Ductal Carcinoma of Breast with Nodal Micrometastases
      Cancer Res Treat. 2019;51(4):1437-1448.   Published online March 4, 2019
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    Impact of 21-Gene Recurrence Score on Chemotherapy Decision in Invasive Ductal Carcinoma of Breast with Nodal Micrometastases
    Image Image Image Image
    Fig. 1. The patient selection flowchart of this study. RS, recurrence score; ER, estrogen receptor; PR, progesterone receptor.
    Fig. 2. The percentage of chemotherapy receipt by 21-gene recurrence score (RS) groups. (A) Traditional RS cutoffs. (B) Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment (TAILORx) RS cutoffs.
    Fig. 3. The breast cancer-specific survival by 21-gene recurrence score (RS) groups. (A) Traditional RS cutoffs. (B) Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment (TAILORx) RS cutoffs.
    Fig. 4. The association of chemotherapy with breast cancer-specific survival by 21-gene recurrence score (RS) groups. Traditional RS cutoffs: low-risk (A), intermediate-risk (B), and high-risk (C). Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment (TAILORx) RS cutoffs: low-risk (D), intermediate-risk (E), and high-risk (F).
    Impact of 21-Gene Recurrence Score on Chemotherapy Decision in Invasive Ductal Carcinoma of Breast with Nodal Micrometastases
    Variable No. No chemotherapy Chemotherapy p-value
    Year of diagnosis
     2004-2006 101 51 (1.5) 50 (3.6) < 0.001
     2007-2009 782 504 (15.0) 278 (19.8)
     2010-2012 1,716 1,181 (35.2) 535 (38.1)
     2013-2015 2,159 1,619 (48.3) 540 (38.5)
    Age at diagnosis (yr)
     < 50 1,122 637 (19.0) 485 (34.6) < 0.001
     ≥ 50 3,636 2,718 (81.0) 918 (65.4)
    Race/Ethnicity
     Non-Hispanic White 3,537 2,514 (74.9) 1,023 (72.9) 0.462
     Non-Hispanic Black 349 239 (7.1) 110 (7.8)
     Hispanic (all races) 438 298 (8.9) 140 (10.0)
     Other 434 304 (9.1) 130 (9.3)
    Grade
     Well differentiated 1,266 1,021 (30.4) 245 (17.5) < 0.001
     Moderately differentiated 2,691 1,925 (57.4) 766 (54.6)
     Poorly/Undifferentiated 801 409 (12.2) 392 (27.9)
    Tumor stage
     T1 3,455 2,508 (74.8) 947 (67.5) < 0.001
     T2 1,303 847 (25.2) 456 (32.5)
    PR status
     Negative 340 174 (5.2) 166 (11.8) < 0.001
     Positive 4,418 3,181 (94.8) 1,237 (88.2)
    Surgical procedure
     Breast conserving surgery 3,018 2,155 (64.2) 863 (61.5) 0.076
     Mastectomy 1,740 1,200 (35.8) 540 (38.5)
    Radiotherapy
     No 1,989 1,361 (40.6) 628 (44.8) 0.007
     Yes 2,769 1,994 (59.4) 775 (55.2)
    21-Gene recurrence score (traditional cutoffs)
     Low-risk 2,831 2,435 (72.6) 396 (28.2) < 0.001
     Intermediate-risk 1,634 855 (25.5) 779 (55.5)
     High-risk 293 65 (1.9) 228 (16.3)
    21-Gene recurrence score (TAILORx cutoffs)
     Low-risk 1,057 945 (28.2) 112 (8.0) < 0.001
     Intermediate-risk 3,076 2,244 (66.9) 832 (59.3)
     High-risk 625 166 (4.9) 459 (32.7)
    Variable OR 95% CI p-value
    Year of diagnosis
     2004-2006 1
     2007-2009 0.617 0.385-0.989 0.045
     2010-2012 0.506 0.321-0.799 0.003
     2013-2015 0.372 0.236-0.587 < 0.001
    Age at diagnosis (yr)
     < 50 1
     ≥ 50 0.361 0.306-0.424 < 0.001
    Race/Ethnicity
     Non-Hispanic White 1
     Non-Hispanic Black 1.020 0.771-1.348 0.891
     Hispanic (all races) 1.164 0.908-1.494 0.231
     Other 0.940 0.728-1.214 0.635
    Grade
     Well differentiated 1
     Moderately differentiated 1.388 1.159-1.662 < 0.001
     Poorly/Undifferentiated 1.732 1.372-2.186 < 0.001
    Tumor stage
     T1 1
     T2 1.130 0.960-1.332 0.142
    PR status
     Negative 1
     Positive 0.843 0.645-1.101 0.209
    Surgical procedure
     Breast conserving surgery 1
     Mastectomy 0.943 0.770-1.155 0.570
    Radiotherapy
     No 1
     Yes 0.987 0.811-1.201 0.897
    21-Gene recurrence score (traditional cutoffs)
     Low-risk 1
     Intermediate-risk 4.037 3.388-4.809 < 0.001
     High-risk 6.001 3.975-9.059 < 0.001
    21-Gene recurrence score (TAILORx cutoffs)
     Low-risk 1
     Intermediate-risk 1.439 1.134-1.826 0.003
     High-risk 4.386 3.065-6.276 < 0.001
    Variable OR 95% CI p-value
    Traditional RS cutoffs
     Year of diagnosis 1.162 0.951-1.420 0.143
     Age at diagnosis 2.254 1.009-5.036 0.048
     Race/Ethnicity 1.322 1.027-1.701 0.030
     Grade 2.024 1.259-3.255 0.004
     Tumor stage 1.365 0.756-2.466 0.302
     PR status 0.677 0.332-1.382 0.284
     Surgical procedure 1.415 0.682-2.936 0.351
     Radiotherapy 1.221 0.594-2.510 0.586
     Chemotherapy 1.616 0.855-3.055 0.139
     21-Gene RS 2.774 1.823-4.221 < 0.001
    TAILORx RS cutoffs
     Year of diagnosis
     Age at diagnosis 2.338 1.049-5.213 0.038
     Race/Ethnicity 1.298 1.012-1.665 0.040
     Grade 1.852 1.157-2.963 0.010
     Tumor stage 1.307 0.722-2.366 0.377
     PR status 0.717 0.355-1.452 0.356
     Surgical procedure 1.443 0.698-2.983 0.322
     Radiotherapy 1.241 0.607-2.537 0.555
     Chemotherapy 1.430 0.756-2.703 0.271
     21-Gene RS 4.748 2.752-8.193 < 0.001
    Traditional RS cutoffs+TAILORx RS cutoffs
     Year of diagnosis
     Age at diagnosis 2.338 1.049-5.213 0.038
     Race/Ethnicity 1.298 1.012-1.665 0.040
     Grade 1.852 1.157-2.963 0.010
     Tumor stage 1.311 0.724-2.372 0.371
     PR status 0.738 0.362-1.502 0.401
     Surgical procedure 1.445 0.700-2.983 0.320
     Radiotherapy 1.249 0.611-2.553 0.542
     Chemotherapy 1.382 0.723-2.640 0.328
     21-Gene RS (traditional cutoffs) 1.174 0.654-2.109 0.591
     21-Gene RS (TAILORx cutoffs) 4.748 2.752-8.193 < 0.001
    Variable Traditional RS cutoffs
    TAILORx RS cutoffs
    HR 95% CI p-value HR 95% CI p-value
    Low-risk RS
     Year of diagnosis 1.137 0.329-3.926 0.839 4.856 0.269-87.812 0.285
     Age at diagnosis 4.097 0.488-34.388 0.194 - - 0.979
     Race/Ethnicity 1.784 1.113-2.861 0.016 0.872 0.211-3.603 0.850
     Grade 1.042 0.351-3.089 0.941 0.738 0.102-5.353 0.764
     Tumor stage 2.386 0.646-8.814 0.192 2.249 0.191-26.484 0.519
     PR status 0.142 0.030-0.670 0.014 - - 0.995
     Surgical procedure 1.785 0.291-10.957 0.531 - - 0.976
     Radiotherapy 1.312 0.215-7.998 0.768 - - 0.976
     Chemotherapy 1.933 0.469-7.974 0.362 - - 0.983
    Intermediate-risk RS
     Year of diagnosis 2.193 0.932-5.158 0.072 1.474 0.552-3.934 0.439
     Age at diagnosis 2.601 0.776-8.715 0.121 2.635 0.714-9.718 0.146
     Race/Ethnicity 1.362 0.969-1.916 0.076 1.568 1.089-2.256 0.016
     Grade 2.442 1.309-4.557 0.005 2.278 1.091-4.752 0.028
     Tumor stage 1.176 0.511-2.703 0.703 1.464 0.539-3.978 0.455
     PR status 0.899 0.302-2.679 0.848 0.502 0.142-1.772 0.284
     Surgical procedure 1.425 0.490-4.140 0.515 2.288 0.901-4.752 0.082
     Radiotherapy 0.797 0.277-2.297 0.675 1.247 0.301-5.167 0.761
     Chemotherapy 1.751 0.781-3.926 0.174 1.386 0.522-3.682 0.512
    High-risk RS
     Year of diagnosis 1.601 0.539-4.750 0.397 1.559 0.755-3.218 0.230
     Age at diagnosis 0.979 0.247-3.873 0.976 2.171 0.742-6.352 0.157
     Race/Ethnicity 0.527 0.172-1.614 0.262 1.078 0.735-1.580 0.702
     Grade 2.860 0.813-10.056 0.102 1.499 0.787-2.854 0.218
     Tumor stage 1.594 0.521-4.874 0.414 1.241 0.578-2.663 0.579
     PR status 0.608 0.201-1.835 0.377 0.760 0.332-1.739 0.516
     Surgical procedure 0.931 0.244-3.552 0.917 1.060 0.434-2.593 0.898
     Radiotherapy 2.615 0.817-8.371 0.106 1.230 0.513-2.950 0.642
     Chemotherapy 0.940 0.243-3.628 0.929 1.439 0.573-3.611 0.438
    Table 1. Association between patient characteristics and chemotherapy receipt

    Values are presented as number (%). T, tumor; PR, progesterone receptor; TAILORx, Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment.

    Table 2. Predictors of chemotherapy receipt

    OR, odds radio; CI, confidence interval; T, tumor; PR, progesterone receptor; TAILORx, Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment.

    Table 3. Multivariate prognostic analysis of breast cancer-specific survival

    OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; RS, recurrence score; PR, progesterone receptor; TAILORx, Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment.

    Table 4. Multivariate prognostic analysis of breast cancer-specific survival by different 21-gene RS groups

    RS, recurrence score; TAILORx, Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment; HR, hazard ratios; CI, confidence interval; PR, progesterone receptor.


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